Londrina vs América Mineiro prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Londrina to win: 62%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 50%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
Key factors
In short
Londrina are clear favourites at 62%, with América Mineiro on 16% and the draw on 22%. Londrina are 18th and América Mineiro 19th in Brasileirão Série B. In their last five league games, Londrina won one and América Mineiro two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Londrina win or draw
- 84%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 78%
- América Mineiro win or draw
- 38%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 75%
- 3+ goals
- 50%
- 4+ goals
- 28%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 47%
- No
- 53%
We expect about 1.9 goals from Londrina and 0.8 from América Mineiro. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 3–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 62% | 22% | 16% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #2053 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Londrina: last 6
LWDLLL · 5 scored, 10 conceded
| 24 Oct | at CRB | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | vs Cuiaba | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | at Athletic Club | 2–2 | D |
| 7 Oct | at Avai | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Oct | vs Criciuma | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Sep | at Vila Nova | 0–2 | L |
Last 5 at home: WLLWL
América Mineiro: last 6
WWLLLL · 2 scored, 5 conceded
| 26 Oct | vs Cuiaba | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Operario-PR | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | at Criciuma | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Oct | vs Fortaleza EC | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | at Atletico Goianiense | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | vs Juventude | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 away: LLLLL
Season stats
| Londrina | América Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.26 | Goals scored per game | 0.66 |
| 1.46 | Goals conceded per game | 1.54 |
| 1.41 | Scored per game at home | 0.78 |
| 1.11 | Scored per game away | 0.53 |
| 63% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 46% |
| 54% | Both teams scored | 40% |
| 23% | Clean sheets | 17% |
| 34% | Failed to score | 46% |
League matches only, 35 games each.
Brasileirão Série B table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Ceara | 34 | -5 | 43 | DLWWD |
| 16 | Nautico Recife | 35 | -7 | 43 | LDLLD |
| 17 | Avai | 35 | -12 | 37 | LDWWL |
| 18 | Londrina | 35 | -7 | 32 | LWDLL |
| 19 | América Mineiro | 35 | -31 | 23 | WWLLL |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 35 | -55 | 15 | DDLLL |
Match context
- Travel for América Mineiro
- 836 km
- Rest days
- Londrina 7América Mineiro 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: Londrina 2 · América Mineiro 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 26°C · wind 2 km/h
- Rain expected
- Goals in this league
- Brasileirão Série B average: 2.34 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
