Goiás vs CRB prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Goiás to win: 41%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 53%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
Key factors
In short
Goiás are slight favourites at 41%, with CRB on 34% and the draw on 25%. Goiás are 11th and CRB 6th in Brasileirão Série B. In their last five league games, Goiás won two and CRB two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Goiás win or draw
- 66%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- CRB win or draw
- 59%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 77%
- 3+ goals
- 53%
- 4+ goals
- 31%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 56%
- No
- 44%
We expect about 1.5 goals from Goiás and 1.3 from CRB. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%), 0–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41% | 25% | 34% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1951 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Goiás: last 6
DWWLLW · 6 scored, 6 conceded
| 19 Oct | vs Nautico Recife | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Oct | at Operario-PR | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Oct | vs Athletic Club | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Oct | at Novorizontino | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Atletico Goianiense | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Avai | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 at home: DWLWL
CRB: last 6
WLDWLW · 11 scored, 8 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Londrina | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Botafogo SP | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Oct | at Fortaleza EC | 2–2 | D |
| 7 Oct | vs Atletico Goianiense | 3–1 | W |
| 2 Oct | at São Bernardo | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Cuiaba | 3–0 | W |
Last 5 away: DLLLL
Season stats
| Goiás | CRB | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | Goals scored per game | 1.51 |
| 1.18 | Goals conceded per game | 1.40 |
| 0.94 | Scored per game at home | 1.83 |
| 1.06 | Scored per game away | 1.18 |
| 35% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 63% |
| 38% | Both teams scored | 57% |
| 26% | Clean sheets | 23% |
| 38% | Failed to score | 23% |
League matches only, 34 and 35 games.
Brasileirão Série B table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vila Nova | 35 | +14 | 62 | LDWDW |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 35 | +12 | 61 | DWDWD |
| 5 | Criciuma | 35 | +6 | 59 | LWWLW |
| 6 | CRB | 35 | +4 | 55 | WLDWL |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 35 | +9 | 54 | WLDWW |
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 35 | +9 | 54 | LDDLW |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 35 | -1 | 51 | WLLLL |
| 10 | São Bernardo | 35 | +10 | 49 | WLDLW |
| 11 | Goiás | 34 | -6 | 49 | DWWLL |
| 12 | Cuiaba | 35 | +4 | 47 | LLLDW |
| 13 | Botafogo SP | 35 | +2 | 47 | WWWWL |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 35 | +0 | 44 | LDDLL |
Match context
- Travel for CRB
- 1,657 km
- Rest days
- Goiás 14CRB 9
- Matches in the last 14 days: Goiás 0 · CRB 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 23°C · wind 3 km/h
- Rain expected
- Goals in this league
- Brasileirão Série B average: 2.34 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
