Maghreb Fès vs Renaissance Berkane prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Renaissance Berkane to win: 43%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 64%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
The Verdict
All three readings agree Berkane are hard to beat but hard to win with, keeping the away side near the published 43% while home form and rest keep Fes in the mix. Goal expectations sit low on both sides, so the three overs all land below the published 36%.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTwo low-scoring profiles point to a tight, under-leaning match
Both teams score in 42% of the model's games. Everything says few goals.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureUnbeaten Berkane keep grinding while Fes carry the points and the rest edge
Fes sit 6th with 7 points from 4; Berkane are 14th with 3 from 3 but unbeaten (W0 D3 L0). Both had 2 games in 14 days, Berkane with an extra day's rest. Fes' mixed recent run — a league loss to Ittihad Tanger and a cup draw with ASEC — hints at heavy legs. A fifth straight draw is live.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe 43% away number looks too high for a scoreless travelling attack
Berkane have scored 0.00 per game away this season and 2 in their last 3 on the road, all while drawing three league games 0-0 or level. Yet the model makes them 43%. Fes' 1.50 goals per game away is misleading here — at home they score just 1.00 per game. I trim the away edge and nudge the draw up.
Maghreb Fès: slightly underrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Renaissance Berkane are slight favourites at 43%, with Maghreb Fès on 28% and the draw on 29%. Maghreb Fès are 6th and Renaissance Berkane 14th in the Botola Pro. In their last three league games, Maghreb Fès won one and Renaissance Berkane none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Maghreb Fès win or draw
- 57%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 71%
- Renaissance Berkane win or draw
- 72%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 63%
- 3+ goals
- 36%
- 4+ goals
- 17%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 42%
- No
- 58%
We expect about 0.9 goals from Maghreb Fès and 1.2 from Renaissance Berkane. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 0–1 (14%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 0–2 (9%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28% | 29% | 43% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1663 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Maghreb Fès: last 6
WDLDWW · 8 scored, 6 conceded
| 25 Oct | at ASEC Mimosas CAF Champions League | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs ASEC Mimosas CAF Champions League | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Oct | at Ittihad Tanger | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Oct | vs Raja Casablanca | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Oct | at Hassania Agadir | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs CR Khemis Zemamra | 2–1 | W |
Last 3 at home: DDW
Renaissance Berkane: last 5
WWDDD · 5 scored, 2 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Star Sport Academy CAF Champions League | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | at Star Sport Academy CAF Champions League | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | vs CR Khemis Zemamra | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Oct | at UTS Rabat | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | at Moghreb Tetouan | 0–0 | D |
Last 3 away: WDD
Season stats
| Maghreb Fès | Renaissance Berkane | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.25 | Goals scored per game | 0.67 |
| 1.00 | Goals conceded per game | 0.67 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 2.00 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game away | 0.00 |
| 75% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 33% |
| 75% | Both teams scored | 33% |
| 25% | Clean sheets | 67% |
| 25% | Failed to score | 67% |
League matches only, 4 and 3 games.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wydad AC | 5 | +1 | 8 | WDDWL |
| 4 | Hassania Agadir | 4 | +3 | 7 | DWLW |
| 5 | Ittihad Tanger | 4 | +2 | 7 | WLDW |
| 6 | Maghreb Fès | 4 | +1 | 7 | LDWW |
| 7 | Difaa EL Jadida | 5 | +0 | 7 | DWWLL |
| 8 | UTS Rabat | 5 | +0 | 7 | LLDWW |
| 9 | Widad Témara | 5 | +2 | 6 | WLLLW |
| … | |||||
| 11 | FUS Rabat | 5 | -1 | 5 | WDDLL |
| 12 | FAR Rabat | 2 | +1 | 4 | DW |
| 13 | Amal Tiznit | 5 | -5 | 4 | LDLWL |
| 14 | Renaissance Berkane | 3 | +0 | 3 | DDD |
| 15 | Moghreb Tetouan | 5 | -6 | 3 | LLDDD |
| 16 | CR Khemis Zemamra | 5 | -6 | 1 | LDLLL |
Match context
- Rest days
- Maghreb Fès 4Renaissance Berkane 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: Maghreb Fès 2 · Renaissance Berkane 2
- Goals in this league
- Botola Pro average: 2.51 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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