Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab Marrakech prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Kawkab Marrakech to win: 64%, about 2 in 3
Goals call3+ goals 55%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
The Verdict
All three readings point the same way: Kawkab Marrakech's form and defensive record against Amal Tiznit's leaky defence make the away win the clear central case. The goals split leans to a close-over on the 2.5 line, matching the published 55%, and both teams scoring looks finely balanced.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersKawkab's defensive control meets Amal's porous home defence
Kawkab concede just 1.00 per game with clean sheets in 40% of matches, and have won both away games without conceding. That points to a goals game with Kawkab on top.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureForm and points say Kawkab bring confidence where Amal bring pressure
Kawkab sit 2nd with 10 points from 5 (W3 D1 L1) and arrive with two straight away wins, scoring 2 and conceding 0. Kawkab also play the first of two games in 14 days with one day less rest.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe 64% for Kawkab looks fair, but 55% over slightly understates the goal case
Amal have scored in every league game so far and failed to score in 0% of matches, so both teams scoring at 50% may be a touch low. Yet Amal conceding 2.20 per game supports the away side's strength.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Kawkab Marrakech are clear favourites at 64%, with Amal Tiznit on 15% and the draw on 21%. Amal Tiznit are 13th and Kawkab Marrakech 2nd in the Botola Pro. In their last five league games, Amal Tiznit won one and Kawkab Marrakech three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Amal Tiznit win or draw
- 36%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 79%
- Kawkab Marrakech win or draw
- 85%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 78%
- 3+ goals
- 55%
- 4+ goals
- 32%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 50%
- No
- 50%
We expect about 0.9 goals from Amal Tiznit and 2.0 from Kawkab Marrakech. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 0–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 0–2 (11%), 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%), 0–3 (8%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15% | 21% | 64% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #2075 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Amal Tiznit: last 5
LDLWL · 6 scored, 11 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs CODM Meknès | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | at Wydad AC | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Difaa EL Jadida | 2–5 | L |
| 2 Oct | at FUS Rabat | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | vs Ittihad Tanger | 1–3 | L |
Last 3 at home: LLL
Kawkab Marrakech: last 5
DWWWL · 7 scored, 5 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Difaa EL Jadida | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | at Widad Témara | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Ittihad Tanger | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | at CODM Meknès | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Hassania Agadir | 2–3 | L |
Last 2 away: WW
Season stats
| Amal Tiznit | Kawkab Marrakech | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.20 | Goals scored per game | 1.40 |
| 2.20 | Goals conceded per game | 1.00 |
| 1.33 | Scored per game at home | 1.67 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 60% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 40% |
| 80% | Both teams scored | 60% |
| 20% | Clean sheets | 40% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 0% |
League matches only, 5 games each.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CODM Meknès | 5 | +5 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 2 | Kawkab Marrakech | 5 | +2 | 10 | DWWWL |
| 3 | Wydad AC | 5 | +1 | 8 | WDDWL |
| 4 | Hassania Agadir | 4 | +3 | 7 | DWLW |
| 5 | Ittihad Tanger | 4 | +2 | 7 | WLDW |
| … | |||||
| 10 | Raja Casablanca | 3 | +1 | 5 | DDW |
| 11 | FUS Rabat | 5 | -1 | 5 | WDDLL |
| 12 | FAR Rabat | 2 | +1 | 4 | DW |
| 13 | Amal Tiznit | 5 | -5 | 4 | LDLWL |
| 14 | Renaissance Berkane | 3 | +0 | 3 | DDD |
| 15 | Moghreb Tetouan | 5 | -6 | 3 | LLDDD |
| 16 | CR Khemis Zemamra | 5 | -6 | 1 | LDLLL |
Match context
- Rest days
- Amal Tiznit 7Kawkab Marrakech 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: Amal Tiznit 2 · Kawkab Marrakech 2
- Goals in this league
- Botola Pro average: 2.51 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
