Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
UTS Rabat to win: 52%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 57%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
The Verdict
All three lean towards UTS Rabat but with real doubt about their blunt attack, so the away edge narrows from the published 52% towards the high 40s.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersDifaa's wild scoring and conceding rates point to an open game with chances at both ends.
Difaa score 2.40 and concede 2.40 per game, with 80% of their matches seeing both teams score.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureTwo mid-table sides level on points, but Difaa's home form gives them a platform.
Both sit on 7 points from 5 games, Difaa 7th and UTS Rabat 8th. Difaa's last three home games read W L L with 6 scored and 9 conceded. UTS Rabat have lost their last two. Rest is similar: 5 days for Difaa, 6 for UTS Rabat, two games each in 14 days.
Difaa EL Jadida: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe 52% away lean looks generous given UTS Rabat's blunt attack and away record.
UTS Rabat have scored 0.60 per game and failed to score in 60% of matches, with only 1 goal in their last 2 away games. Difaa's 12-12 goal record shows chaos, not control, which keeps the draw and home side live. The 57% over 2.5 line looks fair given Difaa's 60% over rate.
Difaa EL Jadida: slightly underrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
UTS Rabat are favourites at 52%, with Difaa EL Jadida on 25% and the draw on 23%. Difaa EL Jadida are 7th and UTS Rabat 8th in the Botola Pro. In their last five league games, Difaa EL Jadida won two and UTS Rabat two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Difaa EL Jadida win or draw
- 48%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 77%
- UTS Rabat win or draw
- 75%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 79%
- 3+ goals
- 57%
- 4+ goals
- 34%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 57%
- No
- 43%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Difaa EL Jadida and 1.8 from UTS Rabat. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (9%), 0–2 (8%), 2–1 (6%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25% | 23% | 52% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #2074 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Difaa EL Jadida: last 5
DWWLL · 12 scored, 12 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Kawkab Marrakech | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Moghreb Tetouan | 4–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Amal Tiznit | 5–2 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Wydad AC | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs CODM Meknès | 2–6 | L |
Last 3 at home: WLL
UTS Rabat: last 5
LLDWW · 3 scored, 3 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Wydad AC | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | at CODM Meknès | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Oct | vs Renaissance Berkane | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Oct | at Widad Témara | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs FUS Rabat | 2–1 | W |
Last 2 away: LW
Season stats
| Difaa EL Jadida | UTS Rabat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | Goals scored per game | 0.60 |
| 2.40 | Goals conceded per game | 0.60 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game at home | 0.67 |
| 3.00 | Scored per game away | 0.50 |
| 60% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 20% |
| 80% | Both teams scored | 20% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 40% |
| 20% | Failed to score | 60% |
League matches only, 5 games each.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hassania Agadir | 4 | +3 | 7 | DWLW |
| 5 | Ittihad Tanger | 4 | +2 | 7 | WLDW |
| 6 | Maghreb Fès | 4 | +1 | 7 | LDWW |
| 7 | Difaa EL Jadida | 5 | +0 | 7 | DWWLL |
| 8 | UTS Rabat | 5 | +0 | 7 | LLDWW |
| 9 | Widad Témara | 5 | +2 | 6 | WLLLW |
| 10 | Raja Casablanca | 3 | +1 | 5 | DDW |
| 11 | FUS Rabat | 5 | -1 | 5 | WDDLL |
Match context
- Travel for UTS Rabat
- 176 km
- Rest days
- Difaa EL Jadida 5UTS Rabat 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Difaa EL Jadida 2 · UTS Rabat 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 19°C · wind 4 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Botola Pro average: 2.51 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
