Widad Témara vs Maghreb Fès prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Maghreb Fès to win: 46%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 59%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
In short
Maghreb Fès are favourites at 46%, with Widad Témara on 26% and the draw on 28%. Widad Témara are 9th and Maghreb Fès 6th in the Botola Pro. In their last four league games, Widad Témara won one and Maghreb Fès two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Widad Témara win or draw
- 54%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Maghreb Fès win or draw
- 74%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 67%
- 3+ goals
- 41%
- 4+ goals
- 20%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 46%
- No
- 54%
We expect about 1.0 goals from Widad Témara and 1.4 from Maghreb Fès. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 0–1 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (10%), 1–0 (9%), 0–2 (9%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26% | 27% | 46% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1930 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Widad Témara: last 5
WLLLW · 6 scored, 4 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Moghreb Tetouan | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Kawkab Marrakech | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Oct | at FAR Rabat | 0–1 | L |
| 2 Oct | vs UTS Rabat | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | at Wydad AC | 3–1 | W |
Last 2 at home: LL
Maghreb Fès: last 6
WDLDWW · 8 scored, 6 conceded
| 25 Oct | at ASEC Mimosas CAF Champions League | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs ASEC Mimosas CAF Champions League | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Oct | at Ittihad Tanger | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Oct | vs Raja Casablanca | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Oct | at Hassania Agadir | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs CR Khemis Zemamra | 2–1 | W |
Last 3 away: WLW
Season stats
| Widad Témara | Maghreb Fès | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.20 | Goals scored per game | 1.25 |
| 0.80 | Goals conceded per game | 1.00 |
| 0.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.00 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game away | 1.50 |
| 40% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| 20% | Both teams scored | 75% |
| 20% | Clean sheets | 25% |
| 60% | Failed to score | 25% |
League matches only, 5 and 4 games.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wydad AC | 5 | +1 | 8 | WDDWL |
| 4 | Hassania Agadir | 4 | +3 | 7 | DWLW |
| 5 | Ittihad Tanger | 4 | +2 | 7 | WLDW |
| 6 | Maghreb Fès | 4 | +1 | 7 | LDWW |
| 7 | Difaa EL Jadida | 5 | +0 | 7 | DWWLL |
| 8 | UTS Rabat | 5 | +0 | 7 | LLDWW |
| 9 | Widad Témara | 5 | +2 | 6 | WLLLW |
| 10 | Raja Casablanca | 3 | +1 | 5 | DDW |
| 11 | FUS Rabat | 5 | -1 | 5 | WDDLL |
| 12 | FAR Rabat | 2 | +1 | 4 | DW |
Match context
- Rest days
- Widad Témara 7Maghreb Fès 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Widad Témara 2 · Maghreb Fès 2
- Goals in this league
- Botola Pro average: 2.51 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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