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‹ Botola Pro · Matchday 6
Renaissance Berkane 14thDDD
UK time (GMT)
Preview
Raja Casablanca 10thDDW

Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca prediction

Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works

KickoffHour forecast · data model

Who wins?

Raja Casablanca to win: 48%, about 1 in 2

Renaissance Berkane22%
Draw30%
Raja Casablanca48%

Goals call2 goals or fewer 69%

No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.

Version 1 · updated Ledger record ↗

Key factors

In short

Raja Casablanca are favourites at 48%, with Renaissance Berkane on 22% and the draw on 30%. Renaissance Berkane are 14th and Raja Casablanca 10th in the Botola Pro. In their last three league games, Renaissance Berkane won none and Raja Casablanca one.

More markets

Win or draw (double chance)

Renaissance Berkane win or draw
52%
Either team wins (no draw)
70%
Raja Casablanca win or draw
78%

Goals in the match (over/under)

2+ goals
58%
3+ goals
31%
4+ goals
14%

Both teams score (BTTS)

Yes
37%
No
63%

We expect about 0.7 goals from Renaissance Berkane and 1.2 from Raja Casablanca. (expected goals)

Most likely score: 0–1 (17%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–2 (11%), 1–0 (10%).

How these numbers are made

No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.

Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology

Prediction history

#PublishedHomeDrawAwayReasonRecord
1 22%30%48%Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices)#1931

This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).

Form

All competitions, newest first.

Renaissance Berkane: last 5

WWDDD · 5 scored, 2 conceded

24 Octvs Star Sport Academy CAF Champions League1–0W
17 Octat Star Sport Academy CAF Champions League2–0W
13 Octvs CR Khemis Zemamra2–2D
8 Octat UTS Rabat0–0D
27 Sepat Moghreb Tetouan0–0D

Last 2 at home: WD

Raja Casablanca: last 5

WDDDW · 6 scored, 3 conceded

23 Octvs El Kanemi Warriors CAF Confederation Cup2–0W
18 Octat El Kanemi Warriors CAF Confederation Cup2–2D
13 Octat FUS Rabat1–1D
8 Octat Maghreb Fès0–0D
3 Octvs CR Khemis Zemamra1–0W

Last 3 away: DDD

Season stats

Renaissance BerkaneRaja Casablanca
0.67Goals scored per game0.67
0.67Goals conceded per game0.33
2.00Scored per game at home1.00
0.00Scored per game away0.50
33%Matches over 2.5 goals0%
33%Both teams scored33%
67%Clean sheets67%
67%Failed to score33%

League matches only, 3 games each.

Botola Pro table

#TeamPldGoal diff.PointsLeague form
7Difaa EL Jadida5+07DWWLL
8UTS Rabat5+07LLDWW
9Widad Témara5+26WLLLW
10Raja Casablanca3+15DDW
11FUS Rabat5-15WDDLL
12FAR Rabat2+14DW
13Amal Tiznit5-54LDLWL
14Renaissance Berkane3+03DDD
15Moghreb Tetouan5-63LLDDD
16CR Khemis Zemamra5-61LDLLL

Full Botola Pro table

Match context

Travel for Raja Casablanca
508 km
Rest days
Renaissance Berkane 8Raja Casablanca 9
Matches in the last 14 days: Renaissance Berkane 1 · Raja Casablanca 1
Weather at kick-off
16°C · wind 3 km/h
Dry
Goals in this league
Botola Pro average: 2.51 per match

Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)

This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →

18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling

Who do you think wins?

Fans' picks appear after 5 votes · voting closes at kick-off

Related

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  1. Maghreb FèsRenaissance Berkane282943
  2. Difaa EL JadidaUTS Rabat252352
  3. AAmal TiznitKawkab Marrakech152164
  4. Wydad ACMoghreb Tetouan373132
  5. FUS RabatHassania Agadir172162
  6. Widad TémaraMaghreb Fès262846
  7. CODM MeknèsFAR Rabat292744
  8. Ittihad TangerCR Khemis Zemamra392437