CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
FAR Rabat to win: 44%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 55%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
Key factors
In short
FAR Rabat are slight favourites at 44%, with CODM Meknès on 29% and the draw on 27%. CODM Meknès are 1st and FAR Rabat 12th in the Botola Pro. In their last four matches across all competitions, CODM Meknès won two and FAR Rabat two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- CODM Meknès win or draw
- 56%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- FAR Rabat win or draw
- 71%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 71%
- 3+ goals
- 45%
- 4+ goals
- 24%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 50%
- No
- 50%
We expect about 1.1 goals from CODM Meknès and 1.4 from FAR Rabat. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 1–2 (9%), 0–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29% | 27% | 44% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1929 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
CODM Meknès: last 5
WWDLW · 9 scored, 4 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Amal Tiznit | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs UTS Rabat | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Wydad AC | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Kawkab Marrakech | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | at Difaa EL Jadida | 6–2 | W |
Last 2 at home: WL
FAR Rabat: last 4
WDDW · 5 scored, 3 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Korhogo CAF Confederation Cup | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | at Korhogo CAF Confederation Cup | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Oct | at Hassania Agadir | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Oct | vs Widad Témara | 1–0 | W |
Last 2 away: DD
Season stats
| CODM Meknès | FAR Rabat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.80 | Goals scored per game | 1.50 |
| 0.80 | Goals conceded per game | 1.00 |
| 0.50 | Scored per game at home | 1.00 |
| 2.67 | Scored per game away | 2.00 |
| 40% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 40% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 40% | Clean sheets | 50% |
| 40% | Failed to score | 0% |
League matches only, 5 and 2 games.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CODM Meknès | 5 | +5 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 2 | Kawkab Marrakech | 5 | +2 | 10 | DWWWL |
| 3 | Wydad AC | 5 | +1 | 8 | WDDWL |
| 4 | Hassania Agadir | 4 | +3 | 7 | DWLW |
| … | |||||
| 9 | Widad Témara | 5 | +2 | 6 | WLLLW |
| 10 | Raja Casablanca | 3 | +1 | 5 | DDW |
| 11 | FUS Rabat | 5 | -1 | 5 | WDDLL |
| 12 | FAR Rabat | 2 | +1 | 4 | DW |
| 13 | Amal Tiznit | 5 | -5 | 4 | LDLWL |
| 14 | Renaissance Berkane | 3 | +0 | 3 | DDD |
| 15 | Moghreb Tetouan | 5 | -6 | 3 | LLDDD |
Match context
- Travel for FAR Rabat
- 119 km
- Rest days
- CODM Meknès 8FAR Rabat 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: CODM Meknès 1 · FAR Rabat 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 23°C · wind 4 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Botola Pro average: 2.51 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
