Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Wide open: no clear favourite (Ittihad Tanger 39%)
Goals call3+ goals 58%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
Key factors
In short
Ittihad Tanger are slight favourites at 39%, with CR Khemis Zemamra on 37% and the draw on 24%. Ittihad Tanger are 5th and CR Khemis Zemamra 16th in the Botola Pro. In their last four league games, Ittihad Tanger won two and CR Khemis Zemamra none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Ittihad Tanger win or draw
- 63%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 76%
- CR Khemis Zemamra win or draw
- 61%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 80%
- 3+ goals
- 58%
- 4+ goals
- 36%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 61%
- No
- 39%
We expect about 1.5 goals from Ittihad Tanger and 1.5 from CR Khemis Zemamra. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%), 1–0 (7%), 0–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 39% | 24% | 37% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1878 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Ittihad Tanger: last 4
WLDW · 7 scored, 5 conceded
| 14 Oct | vs Maghreb Fès | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Kawkab Marrakech | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Oct | vs Moghreb Tetouan | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Sep | at Amal Tiznit | 3–1 | W |
Last 2 at home: WD
CR Khemis Zemamra: last 5
LDLLL · 5 scored, 11 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs FUS Rabat | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Oct | at Renaissance Berkane | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Oct | vs Hassania Agadir | 2–5 | L |
| 3 Oct | at Raja Casablanca | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | at Maghreb Fès | 1–2 | L |
Last 3 away: DLL
Season stats
| Ittihad Tanger | CR Khemis Zemamra | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | Goals scored per game | 1.00 |
| 1.25 | Goals conceded per game | 2.20 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game at home | 1.00 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 75% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| 100% | Both teams scored | 60% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 40% |
League matches only, 4 and 5 games.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kawkab Marrakech | 5 | +2 | 10 | DWWWL |
| 3 | Wydad AC | 5 | +1 | 8 | WDDWL |
| 4 | Hassania Agadir | 4 | +3 | 7 | DWLW |
| 5 | Ittihad Tanger | 4 | +2 | 7 | WLDW |
| 6 | Maghreb Fès | 4 | +1 | 7 | LDWW |
| 7 | Difaa EL Jadida | 5 | +0 | 7 | DWWLL |
| 8 | UTS Rabat | 5 | +0 | 7 | LLDWW |
| … | |||||
| 13 | Amal Tiznit | 5 | -5 | 4 | LDLWL |
| 14 | Renaissance Berkane | 3 | +0 | 3 | DDD |
| 15 | Moghreb Tetouan | 5 | -6 | 3 | LLDDD |
| 16 | CR Khemis Zemamra | 5 | -6 | 1 | LDLLL |
Match context
- Travel for CR Khemis Zemamra
- 439 km
- Rest days
- Ittihad Tanger 17CR Khemis Zemamra 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Ittihad Tanger 0 · CR Khemis Zemamra 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 20°C · wind 31 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Botola Pro average: 2.51 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
