Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Hassania Agadir to win: 55%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 55%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
The Verdict
All three readings lean towards Hassania Agadir, close to the published 55%, with Raja's unbeaten record and perfect head-to-head run keeping the home chance alive. On goals, Hassania's 100% over-2.5 record against Raja's 0% splits the panel, landing near the published 55% for over 2.5.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersHassania's away scoring meets Raja's stubborn defence - goals look likely at both ends.
Hassania score 4.00 per game away and have both-teams-scored in 100% of matches, while Raja keep clean sheets in 67% and concede just 0.33 per game. Something has to give.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureRaja unbeaten but drawing too much; Hassania arrive fresh and flying.
Raja sit 10th on 5 points from 3 games, unbeaten but with three draws in their last five. The visitors' momentum is real.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe away lean looks right, but the head-to-head tempers it.
The model's 55% for Hassania sits oddly against Raja winning all of the last 6 head-to-heads, conceding once across 2026's two meetings. Yet Hassania's 2.75 goals per game this season and 8 scored in their last two away games justify the lean. Over 2.5 at 55% looks fair.
Raja Casablanca: slightly underrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Hassania Agadir are favourites at 55%, with Raja Casablanca on 22% and the draw on 23%. Raja Casablanca are 10th and Hassania Agadir 4th in the Botola Pro. In their last three league games, Raja Casablanca won one and Hassania Agadir one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Raja Casablanca win or draw
- 45%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 77%
- Hassania Agadir win or draw
- 78%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 78%
- 3+ goals
- 55%
- 4+ goals
- 33%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 55%
- No
- 45%
We expect about 1.1 goals from Raja Casablanca and 1.8 from Hassania Agadir. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%), 0–2 (9%), 1–3 (6%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22% | 23% | 55% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1699 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Raja Casablanca: last 5
WDDDW · 6 scored, 3 conceded
| 23 Oct | vs El Kanemi Warriors CAF Confederation Cup | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | at El Kanemi Warriors CAF Confederation Cup | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Oct | at FUS Rabat | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Oct | at Maghreb Fès | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs CR Khemis Zemamra | 1–0 | W |
Last 2 at home: WW
Hassania Agadir: last 4
DWLW · 11 scored, 8 conceded
| 12 Oct | vs FAR Rabat | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Oct | at CR Khemis Zemamra | 5–2 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Maghreb Fès | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | at Kawkab Marrakech | 3–2 | W |
Last 2 away: WW
Season stats
| Raja Casablanca | Hassania Agadir | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | Goals scored per game | 2.75 |
| 0.33 | Goals conceded per game | 2.00 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.50 |
| 0.50 | Scored per game away | 4.00 |
| 0% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 100% |
| 33% | Both teams scored | 100% |
| 67% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 33% | Failed to score | 0% |
League matches only, 3 and 4 games.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CODM Meknès | 5 | +5 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 2 | Kawkab Marrakech | 5 | +2 | 10 | DWWWL |
| 3 | Wydad AC | 5 | +1 | 8 | WDDWL |
| 4 | Hassania Agadir | 4 | +3 | 7 | DWLW |
| 5 | Ittihad Tanger | 4 | +2 | 7 | WLDW |
| 6 | Maghreb Fès | 4 | +1 | 7 | LDWW |
| 7 | Difaa EL Jadida | 5 | +0 | 7 | DWWLL |
| 8 | UTS Rabat | 5 | +0 | 7 | LLDWW |
| 9 | Widad Témara | 5 | +2 | 6 | WLLLW |
| 10 | Raja Casablanca | 3 | +1 | 5 | DDW |
| 11 | FUS Rabat | 5 | -1 | 5 | WDDLL |
| 12 | FAR Rabat | 2 | +1 | 4 | DW |
| 13 | Amal Tiznit | 5 | -5 | 4 | LDLWL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Raja Casablanca won 6, Hassania Agadir 0, 0 draws; 2.7 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | Raja Casablanca | 2–0 | Hassania Agadir | Botola Pro |
| 1 Mar 2026 | Hassania Agadir | 0–1 | Raja Casablanca | Botola Pro |
| 23 Apr 2025 | Raja Casablanca | 1–0 | Hassania Agadir | Botola Pro |
| 1 Dec 2024 | Hassania Agadir | 1–3 | Raja Casablanca | Botola Pro |
| 11 May 2024 | Hassania Agadir | 2–4 | Raja Casablanca | Cup |
| 20 Feb 2024 | Raja Casablanca | 2–0 | Hassania Agadir | Botola Pro |
Match context
- Travel for Hassania Agadir
- 398 km
- Rest days
- Raja Casablanca 4Hassania Agadir 15
- Matches in the last 14 days: Raja Casablanca 2 · Hassania Agadir 0
- Weather at kick-off
- 20°C · wind 10 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Botola Pro average: 2.51 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
