Kawkab Marrakech vs Difaa EL Jadida prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Kawkab Marrakech to win: 40%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 66% · bookies 66%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The analysts suggest a tight contest where Kawkab's home advantage is balanced by Difaa's high-scoring nature. While the market leans towards a draw, the underlying data points to a high probability of goals, with Kawkab's defensive record offering some stability.
What our AI analysts say
Both analysts broadly agree with the bookmakers.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureKawkab's strong league position and recent form give them a slight edge over Difaa.
Kawkab sits 2nd in the table with 9 points from 4 games. Difaa is 9th with 6 points from 4 games. Kawkab has won 3 of their last 4 games.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market may be underestimating the high-scoring potential of this fixture.
Difaa has a 75% rate of matches over 2.5 goals. Kawkab's expected goals are 1.2, while Difaa's is 0.8.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Kawkab Marrakech are slight favourites at 40%, with Difaa EL Jadida on 22% and the draw on 38%. Kawkab Marrakech are 2nd and Difaa EL Jadida 9th in the Botola Pro. In their last four league games, Kawkab Marrakech won three and Difaa EL Jadida two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Kawkab Marrakech win or draw
- 78%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 62%
- Difaa EL Jadida win or draw
- 60%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 59%
- 3+ goals
- 32%
- 4+ goals
- 14%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 39%
- No
- 61%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Kawkab Marrakech and 0.8 from Difaa EL Jadida. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (16%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 2–0 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33% | 22% | 45% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1169 | |
| 2 | 30% | 22% | 48% | Prices moved (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1345 | |
| 3 | 40% | 38% | 22% | Prices moved | #1469 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Kawkab Marrakech: last 4
WWWL · 6 scored, 4 conceded
| 18 Oct | at Widad Témara | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Ittihad Tanger | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | at CODM Meknès | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Hassania Agadir | 2–3 | L |
Last 2 at home: WL
Difaa EL Jadida: last 4
WWLL · 11 scored, 11 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Moghreb Tetouan | 4–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Amal Tiznit | 5–2 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Wydad AC | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs CODM Meknès | 2–6 | L |
Last 1 away: W
Season stats
| Kawkab Marrakech | Difaa EL Jadida | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | Goals scored per game | 2.75 |
| 1.00 | Goals conceded per game | 2.75 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game at home | 2.00 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 5.00 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 75% |
| 50% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 25% |
League matches only, 4 games each.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CODM Meknès | 5 | +5 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 2 | Kawkab Marrakech | 4 | +2 | 9 | WWWL |
| 3 | Wydad AC | 5 | +1 | 8 | WDDWL |
| 4 | Hassania Agadir | 4 | +3 | 7 | DWLW |
| 5 | Ittihad Tanger | 4 | +2 | 7 | WLDW |
| 6 | Maghreb Fès | 4 | +1 | 7 | LDWW |
| 7 | UTS Rabat | 5 | +0 | 7 | LLDWW |
| 8 | Widad Témara | 5 | +2 | 6 | WLLLW |
| 9 | Difaa EL Jadida | 4 | +0 | 6 | WWLL |
| 10 | Raja Casablanca | 3 | +1 | 5 | DDW |
| 11 | FAR Rabat | 2 | +1 | 4 | DW |
| 12 | Amal Tiznit | 5 | -5 | 4 | LDLWL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Kawkab Marrakech won 1, Difaa EL Jadida 1, 4 draws; 1.2 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun 2026 | Difaa EL Jadida | 1–1 | Kawkab Marrakech | Botola Pro |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Kawkab Marrakech | 0–0 | Difaa EL Jadida | Botola Pro |
| 21 Aug 2025 | Difaa EL Jadida | 2–0 | Kawkab Marrakech | Friendlies Clubs |
| 8 Jun 2024 | Difaa EL Jadida | 0–0 | Kawkab Marrakech | Botola 2 |
| 8 Dec 2023 | Kawkab Marrakech | 1–0 | Difaa EL Jadida | Botola 2 |
| 2 Mar 2019 | Difaa EL Jadida | 1–1 | Kawkab Marrakech | Botola Pro |
Match context
- Rest days
- Kawkab Marrakech 7Difaa EL Jadida 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Kawkab Marrakech 1 · Difaa EL Jadida 1
- Goals in this league
- Botola Pro average: 2.58 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
