FAR Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Ittihad Tanger to win: 50%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 51%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
The Verdict
All three readings lean towards Ittihad Tanger, matching the published 50/25/25 split, with the sceptic's head-to-head caution the only real counterweight. On goals, the coach sees strong scoring signals while the sceptic notes the low-scoring H2H, landing near the published 51% for over 2.5.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersBoth sides score freely, so goals look likely in Rabat.
Ittihad Tanger have both teams scored in 100% of their matches and zero clean sheets, while FAR Rabat have failed to score in none. Tanger's away games average 2.00 goals scored per game, and their matches top 2.5 goals 75% of the time. A 1-1 or 2-1 type scoreline fits the numbers.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureTanger's rest edge against FAR's busy fortnight.
FAR Rabat sit 12th with 4 points from 2 games but have played twice in 14 days and only 3 days since their last match, including a CAF Confederation Cup trip to Korhogo. Ittihad Tanger, 5th with 7 points from 4, have had a full 14 days to prepare for the ~216 km trip.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe away lean looks fair, but the head-to-head tempers it.
Tanger's only recent away result was a defeat at Kawkab Marrakech. I shade the visitors slightly below the published line.
FAR Rabat: slightly underrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Ittihad Tanger are favourites at 50%, with FAR Rabat on 25% and the draw on 25%. FAR Rabat are 12th and Ittihad Tanger 5th in the Botola Pro. In their last four matches across all competitions, FAR Rabat won two and Ittihad Tanger two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- FAR Rabat win or draw
- 50%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- Ittihad Tanger win or draw
- 75%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 76%
- 3+ goals
- 51%
- 4+ goals
- 29%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 53%
- No
- 47%
We expect about 1.1 goals from FAR Rabat and 1.6 from Ittihad Tanger. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 0–1 (11%), 1–2 (10%), 0–2 (9%), 1–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25% | 25% | 50% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1700 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
FAR Rabat: last 4
WDDW · 5 scored, 3 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Korhogo CAF Confederation Cup | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | at Korhogo CAF Confederation Cup | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Oct | at Hassania Agadir | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Oct | vs Widad Témara | 1–0 | W |
Last 2 at home: WW
Ittihad Tanger: last 4
WLDW · 7 scored, 5 conceded
| 14 Oct | vs Maghreb Fès | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Kawkab Marrakech | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Oct | vs Moghreb Tetouan | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Sep | at Amal Tiznit | 3–1 | W |
Last 2 away: LW
Season stats
| FAR Rabat | Ittihad Tanger | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | Goals scored per game | 1.75 |
| 1.00 | Goals conceded per game | 1.25 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.50 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game away | 2.00 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 100% |
| 50% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 0% |
League matches only, 2 and 4 games.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kawkab Marrakech | 5 | +2 | 10 | DWWWL |
| 3 | Wydad AC | 5 | +1 | 8 | WDDWL |
| 4 | Hassania Agadir | 4 | +3 | 7 | DWLW |
| 5 | Ittihad Tanger | 4 | +2 | 7 | WLDW |
| 6 | Maghreb Fès | 4 | +1 | 7 | LDWW |
| 7 | Difaa EL Jadida | 5 | +0 | 7 | DWWLL |
| 8 | UTS Rabat | 5 | +0 | 7 | LLDWW |
| 9 | Widad Témara | 5 | +2 | 6 | WLLLW |
| 10 | Raja Casablanca | 3 | +1 | 5 | DDW |
| 11 | FUS Rabat | 5 | -1 | 5 | WDDLL |
| 12 | FAR Rabat | 2 | +1 | 4 | DW |
| 13 | Amal Tiznit | 5 | -5 | 4 | LDLWL |
| 14 | Renaissance Berkane | 3 | +0 | 3 | DDD |
| 15 | Moghreb Tetouan | 5 | -6 | 3 | LLDDD |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: FAR Rabat won 3, Ittihad Tanger 0, 3 draws; 2.2 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 May 2026 | Ittihad Tanger | 0–0 | FAR Rabat | Botola Pro |
| 1 Oct 2025 | FAR Rabat | 1–1 | Ittihad Tanger | Botola Pro |
| 8 Feb 2025 | FAR Rabat | 3–2 | Ittihad Tanger | Botola Pro |
| 6 Oct 2024 | Ittihad Tanger | 1–1 | FAR Rabat | Botola Pro |
| 2 Mar 2024 | Ittihad Tanger | 1–2 | FAR Rabat | Botola Pro |
| 29 Oct 2023 | FAR Rabat | 1–0 | Ittihad Tanger | Botola Pro |
Match context
- Travel for Ittihad Tanger
- 216 km
- Rest days
- FAR Rabat 3Ittihad Tanger 14
- Matches in the last 14 days: FAR Rabat 2 · Ittihad Tanger 0
- Weather at kick-off
- 19°C · wind 3 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Botola Pro average: 2.51 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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