Academico Viseu vs Rio Ave prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Academico Viseu to win: 48%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 51% · bookies 51%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
In short
Academico Viseu are favourites at 48%, with Rio Ave on 25% and the draw on 27%. Academico Viseu are 6th and Rio Ave 17th in the Primeira Liga. In their last five league games, Academico Viseu won five and Rio Ave one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Academico Viseu win or draw
- 75%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Rio Ave win or draw
- 52%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 73%
- 3+ goals
- 48%
- 4+ goals
- 27%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 51%
- No
- 49%
We expect about 1.6 goals from Academico Viseu and 1.1 from Rio Ave. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (9%), 0–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 54% | 22% | 24% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1934 | |
| 2 | 48% | 27% | 25% | Prices moved | #2202 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Academico Viseu: last 6
WLWWWW · 9 scored, 4 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Sporting CP | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | at Fátima Taça de Portugal | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Estoril | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Estrela | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Vitória SC | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | at GIL Vicente | 1–0 | W |
Last 4 at home: WWLL
Rio Ave: last 6
LWWLDL · 7 scored, 14 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Famalicao | 0–4 | L |
| 17 Oct | at Louletano Taça de Portugal | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Nacional | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Alverca | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Sep | vs Estrela | 3–3 | D |
| 6 Sep | at Santa Clara | 0–4 | L |
Last 5 away: WLLWL
Season stats
| Academico Viseu | Rio Ave | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | Goals scored per game | 0.89 |
| 1.22 | Goals conceded per game | 2.33 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.20 |
| 1.80 | Scored per game away | 0.50 |
| 67% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| 56% | Both teams scored | 22% |
| 22% | Clean sheets | 11% |
| 22% | Failed to score | 67% |
League matches only, 9 games each.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sporting CP | 9 | +10 | 18 | LWDDW |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | +7 | 18 | LWDWW |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | +5 | 17 | WWDLD |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 9 | +2 | 17 | WWWWW |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 9 | +1 | 14 | LWWDL |
| 8 | Alverca | 9 | +0 | 11 | LWWWL |
| 9 | SC Braga | 9 | -2 | 11 | LLLDW |
| … | |||||
| 14 | Maritimo | 9 | -10 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Nacional | 9 | -8 | 7 | WLLLL |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 9 | -12 | 7 | WLWLD |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 9 | -13 | 7 | LWLDL |
| 18 | Estoril | 9 | -10 | 2 | LLLLD |
Match context
- Travel for Rio Ave
- 104 km
- Rest days
- Academico Viseu 6Rio Ave 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Academico Viseu 1 · Rio Ave 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 18°C · wind 8 km/h
- Dry
- Coaches
- Vasco Seabra
- Rio Ave, since Oct 2026
- Goals in this league
- Primeira Liga average: 2.74 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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