Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest prediction
Full analysisTeam news, injuries and lineups read by our AI scouts, updated when the official lineups are out. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast
Who wins?
Nottingham Forest to win: 41%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 54% · bookies 54% · ✗ 2 goals
The Verdict
Our final numbers match the bookmakers' percentages, meaning the shifts made by The Coach, The Dressing Room, and The Sceptic canceled each other out. The Sceptic's view that Forest's finishing woes and Ipswich's late-goal habit would make the away favourite price too strong was not followed.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think Ipswich Town's chances are better than the bookmakers say. It does not make Ipswich Town favourites.
The Coach
tactics and lineupsIpswich's settled XI vs Forest's reshaped back three edges a tight Friday night
Ipswich name their usual 4-2-3-1 with Palacios, Enciso, Philogene and Fatawu supporting the front line. Forest switch to a 3-4-2-1: Gibbs-White returns to start alongside Ndoye, with Delap up front on his Portman Road return. Lukic misses out after a groin issue.
The Dressing Room
mood and pressureForest sit second-bottom with one win in seven and three straight league defeats, with pressure visibly mounting on Glasner. Ipswich are 10th, won their last home game, and O'Neil is unbeaten in five PL meetings with Forest.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongForest have 120 shots (3rd most) but only 25 on target and a league-worst -6.2 xG underperformance.
Ipswich: slightly underrated
Low✗ Wrong AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips. Who reads the game best
In short
Nottingham Forest faces significant pressure after a poor run of results, while Ipswich Town seeks to consolidate its position in the top half of the table. Forest's attacking output is hampered by poor conversion rates, contrasting with Ipswich's tendency to score late goals at home.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Ipswich Town win or draw
- 59%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 72%
- Nottingham Forest win or draw
- 69%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 77%
- 3+ goals
- 54%
- 4+ goals
- 31%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 57%
- No
- 43%
We expect about 1.3 goals from Ipswich Town and 1.5 from Nottingham Forest. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 0–1 (9%), 1–2 (9%), 1–0 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
How we got to these numbers
| Home | Draw | Away | 3+ goals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bookmakers | 31% | 28% | 41% | 54% |
| Goals model | 46% | 27% | 27% | 52% |
| AI analysts | 42% | 27% | 31% | 53% |
| Our forecast | 31% | 28% | 41% | 54% |
Verdict: Our final probabilities align with the market assessment, suggesting that the inherent strengths of Ipswich Town are balanced by the attacking threat of Nottingham Forest.
Our forecast starts from the bookmakers' prices and moves only by what the news justifies, capped at 8 percentage points per outcome. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Ipswich Town: last 6
LWLLWL · 9 scored, 13 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Manchester City | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Fulham | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Everton | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Sep | vs Arsenal League Cup | 2–4 | L |
| 12 Sep | at Crystal Palace | 3–2 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs Liverpool | 0–2 | L |
Last 5 at home: WLLWW
Nottingham Forest: last 6
LLLWDD · 5 scored, 8 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs Arsenal | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | at Crystal Palace | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Coventry | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | at Aston Villa | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Tottenham | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | at Liverpool | 2–2 | D |
Last 3 away: LWD
Season stats
| Ipswich Town | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.57 | Goals scored per game | 0.71 |
| 2.14 | Goals conceded per game | 1.29 |
| 1.33 | Scored per game at home | 0.00 |
| 1.75 | Scored per game away | 1.67 |
| 71% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 43% |
| 71% | Both teams scored | 43% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 14% |
| 29% | Failed to score | 57% |
| 2.00 | Yellow cards per game | 2.29 |
League matches only, 7 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | Ipswich Town | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
Premier League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Leeds | 7 | +3 | 10 | DLDWD |
| 10 | Hull City | 8 | +1 | 10 | DLDLD |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | -1 | 10 | LLDWD |
| 12 | Ipswich Town | 8 | -4 | 10 | DLWLW |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | -1 | 9 | WWLLD |
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | -2 | 9 | WWDLD |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | -2 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 16 | Manchester United | 8 | -3 | 7 | LDDDL |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | -10 | 7 | LLWDL |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | -4 | 6 | DLLLW |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | -9 | 6 | LLWWL |
| 20 | Sunderland | 7 | -8 | 4 | LLLLD |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Ipswich Town won 0, Nottingham Forest 4, 2 draws; 2.7 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2025 | Ipswich Town | 2–4 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 3 Mar 2025 | Nottingham Forest | 1–1 | Ipswich Town | FA Cup |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Nottingham Forest | 1–0 | Ipswich Town | Premier League |
| 16 Mar 2019 | Ipswich Town | 1–1 | Nottingham Forest | Championship |
| 1 Dec 2018 | Nottingham Forest | 2–0 | Ipswich Town | Championship |
| 14 Apr 2018 | Nottingham Forest | 2–1 | Ipswich Town | Championship |
Team news: lineups Confirmed
Goalkeeper
- 28C. Walton
Defenders
- 42A. Ouattara
- 6I. Diop
- 26D. O'Shea
- 3L. Davis
Midfielders
- 25E. Palacios
- 12Florentino
- 7A. Fatawu
- 10J. Enciso
- 11J. Philogene
Forward
- 19Emersonn
Substitutes (9)
- 9Z. Flemming
- 29C. Akpom
- 38D. Maeda
- 47J. Clarke
- 32M. Núñez
- 5A. Matusiwa
- 24J. Greaves
- 2D. Furlong
- 37K. Scherpen
Goalkeeper
- 26M. Sels
Defenders
- 23Jair
- 31N. Milenković
- 5Murillo
Midfielders
- 27D. Muñoz
- 24J. McAtee
- 21X. Schlager
- 3N. Williams
- 10M. Gibbs-White
- 14D. Ndoye
Forward
- 19L. Delap
Substitutes (9)
- 15A. Kalimuendo
- 9C. Wood
- 22R. Yates
- 7C. Hudson-Odoi
- 6I. Sangaré
- 34O. Aina
- 25L. Netz
- 2O. Diomande
- 12John
Official team sheets, updated UK time (GMT).
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutS. LukicGroin
- OutJ. TaylorKnee
- OutIgor JesusCalf
- OutN. SavonaKnee
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Key facts
- Ipswich Town sits in 10th place with 9 points from seven league games.[1][2]
- Nottingham Forest is in 19th place, having secured only five points from seven league matches.[1]
- Ipswich Town's league record shows two home wins, zero draws, and one loss.[1]
- Forest's xG underperformance of -6.2 is the worst in the Premier League division.[2]
- Ipswich Town's three wins this season were all decided by goals scored in the 90th minute or later.[2]
- Forest has recorded 120 shots, the third most in the league, but only 25 of those were on target.[6]
- Gary O'Neil has not lost any of his five Premier League matches against Nottingham Forest.[2]
Sources
- starsportsbet.co.uk – STAR FOOTBALL PREVIEW Fri: Ipswich v Nottingham Forest - Star Sports (2026-10-23)
- bbc.co.uk – Ipswich Town v Nottingham Forest: Key stats and talking points - BBC (2026-10-23)
- ipswichstar.co.uk – Glasner backs Delap to find his scoring touch on Ipswich return tonight - Ipswich Star (2026-10-23)
- bbc.co.uk – Forest's start raises questions - but belief in Glasner remains (2026-10-23)
Off the pitch
Match context
- Stadium
- Portman Road, Ipswich, Suffolk
- 30,311 seats · grass
- Travel for Nottingham Forest
- 185 km
- Rest days
- Ipswich Town 6Nottingham Forest 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: Ipswich Town 2 · Nottingham Forest 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 9°C · wind 32 km/h
- Dry
- Referee
- Thomas Bramall
- 3.2 yellow cards per game and 0.17 penalties per game over 6 games — below the Premier League average (4.0 yellows).
- Coaches
- G. O'Neil
- Ipswich Town, since Aug 2026
- O. Glasner
- Nottingham Forest, since Aug 2026
- Goals in this league
- Premier League average: 2.90 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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