Hull City vs Brentford prediction
Full analysisTeam news, injuries and lineups read by our AI scouts, updated when the official lineups are out. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast
Who wins?
Brentford to win: 58%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 59% · bookies 58% · ✗ 2 goals
The Verdict
Our numbers stay close to the bookmakers', moving just one point from away to draw and home. The Sceptic's four-point shift towards the draw was not followed, because Hull's one-point return from their last three league games and Brentford's stronger squad depth keep the away side a clear favourite despite the suspensions.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think a draw is underrated.
The Coach
tactics and lineupsHull's defensive structure will be tested by Brentford's attacking quality in this tactical clash.
Hull City will deploy a 5-4-1 formation, featuring a returning Ryan Giles at left-back. Brentford will use a 4-2-3-1, but must operate without their first-choice central midfield pairing. Hull has been unbeaten at home this season, while Brentford's Kevin Schade is a primary attacking threat.
Brentford: slightly overrated
Fewer goalsLow The Dressing Room
mood and pressureHull are unbeaten at home this season but have one point from their last three league games after a 1-0 defeat at Fulham. Brentford sit 6th, one point ahead, unbeaten away yet with all three away matches drawn. Their first defeat came last time out against Liverpool.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongBrentford's suspended midfield pairing gives Hull more of a chance than the away price suggests.
Brentford sit 6th with 13 goals in 7 but have drawn all three away games and lost both first-choice central midfielders to suspension.
AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips. Who reads the game best
In short
Brentford arrive without both suspended first-choice central midfielders, while Hull remain unbeaten at home this season. Brentford have drawn all three away league games. Our numbers stay close to the market, with a small shift from away towards draw and home.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Hull City win or draw
- 42%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 76%
- Brentford win or draw
- 81%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 81%
- 3+ goals
- 59%
- 4+ goals
- 37%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 57%
- No
- 43%
We expect about 1.1 goals from Hull City and 2.0 from Brentford. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (9%), 0–2 (9%), 1–3 (7%).
How we got to these numbers
| Home | Draw | Away | 3+ goals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bookmakers | 18% | 23% | 59% | 58% |
| Goals model | 36% | 29% | 35% | 46% |
| AI analysts | 32% | 29% | 39% | 50% |
| Our forecast | 19% | 24% | 58% | 59% |
Verdict: Our numbers stay close to the market because Hull's unbeaten home record and Brentford's three away draws largely offset each other, while Brentford's suspended midfield pairing only modestly trims the away edge.
Our forecast starts from the bookmakers' prices and moves only by what the news justifies, capped at 8 percentage points per outcome. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Hull City: last 6
LDLDLD · 5 scored, 8 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Fulham | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Everton | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | at Newcastle | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | at Chelsea | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Sep | at Sunderland League Cup | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Aston Villa | 0–0 | D |
Last 3 at home: DDW
Brentford: last 6
LDWWDD · 11 scored, 8 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Liverpool | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Aston Villa | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Sep | vs Chelsea | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | at Reading League Cup | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | at Bournemouth | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Sunderland | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 away: DWDDW
Season stats
| Hull City | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.14 | Goals scored per game | 1.86 |
| 1.00 | Goals conceded per game | 1.14 |
| 1.33 | Scored per game at home | 2.00 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 1.67 |
| 43% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 71% |
| 43% | Both teams scored | 71% |
| 43% | Clean sheets | 29% |
| 29% | Failed to score | 0% |
| 3.00 | Yellow cards per game | 2.71 |
League matches only, 7 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | Hull City | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
Premier League table
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Hull City won 2, Brentford 2, 2 draws; 3.8 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2020 | Hull City | 1–5 | Brentford | Championship |
| 17 Aug 2019 | Brentford | 1–1 | Hull City | Championship |
| 23 Feb 2019 | Brentford | 5–1 | Hull City | Championship |
| 15 Dec 2018 | Hull City | 2–0 | Brentford | Championship |
| 6 May 2018 | Brentford | 1–1 | Hull City | Championship |
| 9 Dec 2017 | Hull City | 3–2 | Brentford | Championship |
Team news: lineups Confirmed
Goalkeeper
- 19K. Tzolakis
Defenders
- 2L. Coyle
- 6S. Ajayi
- 15J. Egan
- 22L. Herrington
- 3R. Giles
Midfielders
- 10M. Belloumi
- 42T. Iroegbunam
- 27R. Slater
- 21E. Stroud
Forward
- 9O. McBurnie
Substitutes (9)
- 50M. Cho
- 47R. Vaz
- 25M. Crooks
- 18B. Norton-Cuffy
- 11J. Gelhardt
- 7S. Thomas
- 5H. Morita
- 17P. McNair
- 12D. Phillips
Goalkeeper
- 1C. Kelleher
Defenders
- 33M. Kayode
- 4S. van den Berg
- 20K. Ajer
- 23K. Lewis-Potter
Midfielders
- 18M. Sangaré
- 2A. Hickey
- 11D. Ouattara
- 8M. Jensen
- 7K. Schade
Forward
- 9Thiago
Substitutes (9)
- 39Gustavo Gomes
- 13C. Wilson
- 24M. Damsgaard
- 19J. Anthony
- 44Jannik Schuster
- 48B. Fredrick
- 25E. Diouf
- 22N. Collins
- 12H. Valdimarsson
Official team sheets, updated UK time (GMT).
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutI. AnsahBack
- OutJ. ButlandArm
- OutD. GyabiGroin
Show 4 more
- OutC. HughesGroin
- OutE. MatazoKnee
- OutN. MendyGroin
- OutM. TargettAnkle
- Susp.V. JaneltSuspended
- Susp.Y. YarmolyukSuspended
- OutJ. DasilvaMuscle
Show 2 more
- OutK. FuroSurgery
- OutA. MilamboKnock
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Key facts
- Hull sit 11th with 9 points from 7 league games and are unbeaten at home this season (W1 D2 L0).[2]
- Brentford sit 7th with 10 points from 7 league games and have drawn all three away league matches.[2][3]
- Brentford lost their first league game of the season last time out, 1-2 at home to Liverpool.[2][3]
- Hull's most recent league game was a 1-0 defeat at Fulham, leaving one point from their last three league matches.[1][2]
- Hull have scored three goals from high turnovers this season, a habit that could test a rebuilt Brentford midfield.[1]
- Kevin Schade has scored 3 goals from 17 shots for Brentford this season.[3]
- This is the first Premier League meeting between the clubs; the last competitive meeting was in the Championship in February 2020, won 5-1 by Brentford.[2]
Sources
- thefootballfaithful.com – Hull City vs Brentford – Predicted lineup and team news - The Football Faithful (2026-10-25)
- thefootballfaithful.com – Hull City vs Brentford – Match preview and team news - The Football Faithful (2026-10-25)
- thefootballfaithful.com – Brentford XI vs Hull City – Predicted lineup and team news - The Football Faithful (2026-10-25)
- hulldailymail.co.uk – Sergej Jakirovic makes Ryan Giles' confession as Tigers eye Brentford response - Hull Live (2026-10-25)
Off the pitch
- Ryan Giles was dropped for the Fulham game but the Hull manager called him 'a first eleven player' and he may return at left-back with Targett out.[5]
Match context
- Stadium
- The MKM Stadium, Hull
- 25,504 seats · grass
- Travel for Brentford
- 251 km
- Rest days
- Hull City 8Brentford 8
- Matches in the last 14 days: Hull City 1 · Brentford 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 12°C · wind 34 km/h
- Dry
- Referee
- Robert Jones
- 2.7 yellow cards per game and 0.17 penalties per game over 6 games — below the Premier League average (4.0 yellows).
- Coaches
- S. Jakirović
- Hull City, since Jul 2025
- Keith Andrews
- Brentford, since Jul 2025
- Goals in this league
- Premier League average: 2.84 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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