Kano Pillars vs Nasarawa United prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Kano Pillars to win: 50%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 66%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
Key factors
In short
Kano Pillars are favourites at 50%, with Nasarawa United on 21% and the draw on 29%. Kano Pillars are 8th and Nasarawa United 3rd in the NPFL. In their last five league games, Kano Pillars won one and Nasarawa United four.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Kano Pillars win or draw
- 79%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 71%
- Nasarawa United win or draw
- 49%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 61%
- 3+ goals
- 34%
- 4+ goals
- 15%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 38%
- No
- 62%
We expect about 1.3 goals from Kano Pillars and 0.7 from Nasarawa United. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (17%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 0–0 (13%), 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (11%), 0–1 (9%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 51% | 29% | 21% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #2052 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Kano Pillars: last 6
DWLDDD · 2 scored, 5 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Warri Wolves | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Katsina United | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Plateau United | 0–4 | L |
| 7 Oct | at Shooting Stars | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Sporting Lagos | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Enyimba | 0–0 | D |
Last 5 at home: WDDWW
Nasarawa United: last 6
WWWDWL · 7 scored, 2 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Enyimba | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | at Inter Lagos | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Doma United | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | at Shooting Stars | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Niger Tornadoes | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | at Kwara United | 1–2 | L |
Last 5 away: WDLLL
Season stats
| Kano Pillars | Nasarawa United | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.20 | Goals scored per game | 1.10 |
| 1.10 | Goals conceded per game | 0.80 |
| 1.80 | Scored per game at home | 1.20 |
| 0.60 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 40% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 30% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 40% |
| 40% | Clean sheets | 60% |
| 40% | Failed to score | 10% |
League matches only, 10 games each.
NPFL table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rivers United | 10 | +10 | 17 | LDDWD |
| 2 | Enugu Rangers | 8 | +5 | 17 | DWWLW |
| 3 | Nasarawa United | 10 | +3 | 17 | WWWDW |
| 4 | Plateau United | 10 | +4 | 15 | DLWLW |
| 5 | Barau FC | 10 | +3 | 15 | DDDLD |
| 6 | Bendel Insurance | 9 | +2 | 15 | WLWLW |
| 7 | Sporting Lagos | 9 | +2 | 15 | WWDDD |
| 8 | Kano Pillars | 10 | +1 | 15 | DWLDD |
| 9 | Niger Tornadoes | 10 | +1 | 15 | WWDWL |
| 10 | Doma United | 9 | +0 | 14 | DLWLD |
| 11 | Ikorodu City | 10 | +2 | 13 | DLWLD |
Match context
- Travel for Nasarawa United
- 389 km
- Rest days
- Kano Pillars 7Nasarawa United 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Kano Pillars 1 · Nasarawa United 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 36°C · wind 12 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- NPFL average: 2.35 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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