Inter Lagos vs Ranchers Bees prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Inter Lagos to win: 40%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 64%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
Key factors
In short
Inter Lagos are slight favourites at 40%, with Ranchers Bees on 30% and the draw on 30%. Inter Lagos are 20th and Ranchers Bees 18th in the NPFL. Neither side has won any of their last five league games.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Inter Lagos win or draw
- 70%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 70%
- Ranchers Bees win or draw
- 60%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 63%
- 3+ goals
- 36%
- 4+ goals
- 17%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 42%
- No
- 58%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Inter Lagos and 1.0 from Ranchers Bees. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (14%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (12%), 0–1 (11%), 2–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 40% | 30% | 30% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1861 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Inter Lagos: last 6
LLLDLD · 3 scored, 10 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Kun Khalifat FC | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Nasarawa United | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | at Warri Wolves | 1–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Katsina United | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | at Plateau United | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | vs Kano Pillars | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 at home: LDDLL
Ranchers Bees: last 6
LDLDLW · 4 scored, 7 conceded
| 16 Oct | at Shooting Stars | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Niger Tornadoes | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Oct | at Kwara United | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | vs Rivers United | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Sep | at Enugu Rangers | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Bendel Insurance | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 away: LLLLL
Season stats
| Inter Lagos | Ranchers Bees | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.50 | Goals scored per game | 1.11 |
| 1.60 | Goals conceded per game | 1.44 |
| 0.40 | Scored per game at home | 1.50 |
| 0.60 | Scored per game away | 0.80 |
| 30% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| 40% | Both teams scored | 56% |
| 10% | Clean sheets | 33% |
| 50% | Failed to score | 33% |
League matches only, 10 and 9 games.
NPFL table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Shooting Stars | 10 | -2 | 12 | DWLDD |
| 16 | Kun Khalifat FC | 10 | -6 | 12 | WDWLW |
| 17 | Abia Warriors | 10 | -4 | 10 | LDDLW |
| 18 | Ranchers Bees | 9 | -3 | 8 | LDLDL |
| 19 | Enyimba | 10 | -4 | 8 | LDLWW |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 10 | -11 | 2 −3 | LLLDL |
Match context
- Rest days
- Inter Lagos 7Ranchers Bees 15
- Matches in the last 14 days: Inter Lagos 1 · Ranchers Bees 0
- Goals in this league
- NPFL average: 2.35 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
