Colour theme
‹ NPFL · Matchday 11
Enyimba 19thLDLWW
UK time (GMT)
Preview
Kun Khalifat FC 16thWDWLW

Enyimba vs Kun Khalifat FC prediction

Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works

KickoffHour forecast · data model

Who wins?

Enyimba to win: 61%, about 3 in 5

Enyimba61%
Draw23%
Kun Khalifat16%

Goals call2 goals or fewer 53%

No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.

Version 1 · updated Ledger record ↗

Key factors

In short

Enyimba are clear favourites at 61%, with Kun Khalifat FC on 16% and the draw on 23%. Enyimba are 19th and Kun Khalifat FC 16th in the NPFL. In their last five league games, Enyimba won two and Kun Khalifat FC three.

More markets

Win or draw (double chance)

Enyimba win or draw
84%
Either team wins (no draw)
77%
Kun Khalifat FC win or draw
39%

Goals in the match (over/under)

2+ goals
72%
3+ goals
47%
4+ goals
25%

Both teams score (BTTS)

Yes
45%
No
55%

We expect about 1.8 goals from Enyimba and 0.8 from Kun Khalifat FC. (expected goals)

Most likely score: 1–0 (14%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 0–0 (8%).

How these numbers are made

No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.

Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology

Prediction history

#PublishedHomeDrawAwayReasonRecord
1 61%23%16%Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices)#1782

This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).

Form

All competitions, newest first.

Enyimba: last 6

LDLWWD · 8 scored, 7 conceded

25 Octat Nasarawa United0–1L
18 Octvs Warri Wolves0–0D
9 Octat Katsina United2–4L
4 Octvs Plateau United2–0W
30 Sepvs Shooting Stars4–2W
27 Sepat Kano Pillars0–0D

Last 5 at home: DWWLL

Kun Khalifat FC: last 6

WDWLWL · 5 scored, 7 conceded

25 Octvs Inter Lagos1–0W
17 Octat Doma United1–1D
11 Octvs Shooting Stars2–0W
4 Octat Niger Tornadoes0–1L
27 Sepvs Kwara United1–0W
24 Sepat Rivers United0–5L

Last 5 away: DLLLD

Season stats

EnyimbaKun Khalifat FC
1.10Goals scored per game0.90
1.50Goals conceded per game1.50
1.60Scored per game at home1.20
0.60Scored per game away0.60
40%Matches over 2.5 goals30%
40%Both teams scored30%
30%Clean sheets50%
50%Failed to score40%

League matches only, 10 games each.

NPFL table

#TeamPldGoal diff.PointsLeague form
13Kwara United10+012DDLWL
14Warri Wolves10-112DDWLL
15Shooting Stars10-212DWLDD
16Kun Khalifat FC10-612WDWLW
17Abia Warriors10-410LDDLW
18Ranchers Bees9-38LDLDL
19Enyimba10-48LDLWW
20Inter Lagos10-112 −3LLLDL

Full NPFL table

Match context

Rest days
Enyimba 7Kun Khalifat FC 7
Matches in the last 14 days: Enyimba 1 · Kun Khalifat FC 1
Weather at kick-off
31°C · wind 5 km/h
Rain expected
Goals in this league
NPFL average: 2.35 per match

Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)

This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →

18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling

Who do you think wins?

Fans' picks appear after 5 votes · voting closes at kick-off

Related

More NPFL matches

  1. Niger TornadoesBarau FC493021
  2. Doma UnitedIkorodu City522622
  3. Inter LagosRanchers Bees403030
  4. Kano PillarsNasarawa United502921
  5. Katsina UnitedSporting Lagos542422
  6. Kwara UnitedBendel Insurance592219
  7. Plateau UnitedWWarri Wolves602614
  8. Rivers UnitedEnugu Rangers672112
  9. Shooting StarsAbia Warriors582418