Stade de Reims vs Sochaux prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Stade de Reims to win: 58%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 53% · bookies 53%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three readings lean the same way: Reims' unbeaten start and strong home scoring make them clear favourites, with the published 58% home probability looking fair to slightly conservative. The sceptic's doubt sits on the total line, where Sochaux's low away scoring and over rate suggest over 2.5 at 53% may be marginally optimistic.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think Stade de Reims's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersReims' home scoring rate against Sochaux's modest away attack points to a home win with goals.
Reims score 2.60 per game at home and both teams scored in 80% of their league matches, while Sochaux average just 0.80 away. Sochaux kept clean sheets in 40% of games though, so a controlled home win with both sides scoring fits the numbers.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureUnbeaten Reims at home should have too much for a Sochaux side short of wins.
Reims sit 4th on 18 points from 10 games without a defeat, while Sochaux are 12th on 11 points with only two wins.
Stade de Reims: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe published numbers look broadly fair, though the total line may be slightly generous.
Reims' last six include four draws and only one win by more than a single goal, and Sochaux drew four of five away. Reims concede 1.20 per game, so 58% for the home win is defensible, but 53% for over 2.5 looks a touch high given Sochaux's 30% over rate.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Stade de Reims are favourites at 58%, with Sochaux on 19% and the draw on 23%. Stade de Reims are 4th and Sochaux 12th in Ligue 2. In their last five league games, Stade de Reims won two and Sochaux one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Stade de Reims win or draw
- 81%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 77%
- Sochaux win or draw
- 42%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 77%
- 3+ goals
- 53%
- 4+ goals
- 31%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 52%
- No
- 48%
We expect about 1.8 goals from Stade de Reims and 1.0 from Sochaux. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–1 (11%), 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 3–0 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 58% | 23% | 19% | Stats preview | #1863 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Stade de Reims: last 6
DWDDWD · 10 scored, 7 conceded
| 26 Oct | at Boulogne | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Oct | vs Dijon | 4–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Nantes | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Sep | vs Montpellier | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Sep | at Nancy | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Guingamp | 2–2 | D |
Last 5 at home: WDDWD
Sochaux: last 6
LLDDWD · 7 scored, 9 conceded
| 23 Oct | vs Annecy | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | at Metz | 2–3 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Boulogne | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Sep | at Laval | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Nantes | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Sep | at PAU | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 away: LDDDD
Season stats
| Stade de Reims | Sochaux | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | Goals scored per game | 0.80 |
| 1.20 | Goals conceded per game | 1.20 |
| 2.60 | Scored per game at home | 0.80 |
| 1.40 | Scored per game away | 0.80 |
| 60% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 30% |
| 80% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 20% | Clean sheets | 40% |
| 20% | Failed to score | 30% |
League matches only, 10 games each.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 10 | +15 | 25 | WWWDL |
| 2 | Montpellier | 10 | +7 | 21 | WWWDW |
| 3 | Nancy | 10 | +4 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 4 | Stade de Reims | 10 | +8 | 18 | DWDDW |
| 5 | PAU | 10 | +3 | 17 | WWWWL |
| 6 | RED Star FC 93 | 10 | +1 | 17 | LLWWW |
| 7 | Annecy | 10 | +2 | 16 | WLWLL |
| … | |||||
| 9 | Dijon | 10 | -1 | 12 | LLWWW |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 10 | -2 | 12 | DWLLW |
| 11 | Guingamp | 10 | -2 | 11 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Sochaux | 10 | -4 | 11 | LLDDW |
| 13 | Boulogne | 10 | +0 | 10 | DWDLD |
| 14 | Rodez | 10 | -6 | 10 | WLLLL |
| 15 | Nantes | 10 | -6 | 8 | LLDWL |
Match context
- Travel for Sochaux
- 282 km
- Rest days
- Stade de Reims 4Sochaux 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Stade de Reims 1 · Sochaux 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 14°C · wind 15 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Ligue 2 average: 2.68 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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