Red Star FC 93 vs Nancy prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Red Star 93 to win: 41%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 52% · bookies 52%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
Key factors
In short
Red Star FC 93 are slight favourites at 41%, with Nancy on 32% and the draw on 27%. Red Star FC 93 are 6th and Nancy 3rd in Ligue 2. In their last five league games, Red Star FC 93 won three and Nancy four.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Red Star FC 93 win or draw
- 68%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Nancy win or draw
- 59%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 73%
- 3+ goals
- 48%
- 4+ goals
- 26%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 52%
- No
- 48%
We expect about 1.4 goals from Red Star FC 93 and 1.2 from Nancy. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (9%), 2–1 (9%), 0–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33% | 28% | 38% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1955 | |
| 2 | 41% | 27% | 32% | Prices moved | #2206 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Red Star FC 93: last 6
LLWWWW · 10 scored, 7 conceded
| 26 Oct | at Montpellier | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Saint Etienne | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Clermont Foot | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Guingamp | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | vs Metz | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Sep | at Laval | 2–1 | W |
Last 4 at home: LWLD
Nancy: last 6
WWWWLL · 9 scored, 7 conceded
| 23 Oct | vs Laval | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Oct | at Annecy | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Oct | vs Guingamp | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | at Rodez | 4–3 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Reims | 1–2 | L |
| 7 Sep | at Nantes | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 away: WWLWD
Season stats
| Red Star FC 93 | Nancy | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.30 | Goals scored per game | 1.20 |
| 1.20 | Goals conceded per game | 0.80 |
| 0.50 | Scored per game at home | 1.00 |
| 1.83 | Scored per game away | 1.40 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 30% |
| 60% | Both teams scored | 30% |
| 30% | Clean sheets | 50% |
| 20% | Failed to score | 30% |
League matches only, 10 games each.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 10 | +15 | 25 | WWWDL |
| 2 | Montpellier | 10 | +7 | 21 | WWWDW |
| 3 | Nancy | 10 | +4 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 4 | Reims | 10 | +8 | 18 | DWDDW |
| 5 | PAU | 10 | +3 | 17 | WWWWL |
| 6 | Red Star FC 93 | 10 | +1 | 17 | LLWWW |
| 7 | Annecy | 10 | +2 | 16 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Metz | 10 | +2 | 14 | DWLDL |
| 9 | Dijon | 10 | -1 | 12 | LLWWW |
Match context
- Travel for Nancy
- 281 km
- Rest days
- Red Star FC 93 7Nancy 10
- Matches in the last 14 days: Red Star FC 93 1 · Nancy 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 10°C · wind 11 km/h
- Dry
- Coaches
- O. Tanchot
- Nancy, since Oct 2026
- Goals in this league
- Ligue 2 average: 2.68 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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