Rodez Aveyron vs Dunkerque prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Rodez Aveyron to win: 47%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 63% · bookies 63%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
On goals, the Coach's reading of two leaky defences supports the 63% over line, while the Sceptic's note on Dunkerque's 40% over rate pulls slightly the other way - a modest lean to goals rather than a strong one.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think Dunkerque's chances are better than the bookmakers say. It does not make Dunkerque favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersBoth sides leak goals, so a scoring night looks likely in Rodez
Rodez concede 2.20 per game and Dunkerque 1.60, and neither side has kept a clean sheet all season.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureRodez's poor run makes home pressure real despite the table gap
Rodez sit 14th on 10 points, four behind 10th-placed Dunkerque, and have lost five of their last six. Their home form reads L L L D W with 8 scored and 11 conceded. Dunkerque arrive with 12 points and a steadier recent run.
Dunkerque: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongHome favouritism looks fair, but the goals line may be a touch high
Dunkerque's matches go over 2.5 only 40% of the time, so 63% for goals looks slightly generous.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Rodez Aveyron are favourites at 47%, with Dunkerque on 29% and the draw on 24%. Rodez Aveyron are 14th and Dunkerque 10th in Ligue 2. In their last five league games, Rodez Aveyron won one and Dunkerque two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Rodez Aveyron win or draw
- 71%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 76%
- Dunkerque win or draw
- 53%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 83%
- 3+ goals
- 63%
- 4+ goals
- 40%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 63%
- No
- 37%
We expect about 1.8 goals from Rodez Aveyron and 1.4 from Dunkerque. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (7%), 1–2 (7%), 2–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47% | 24% | 29% | Stats preview | #1762 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Rodez Aveyron: last 6
WLLLLL · 6 scored, 15 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Dijon | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | vs Montpellier | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Saint Etienne | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs Nancy | 3–4 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs Grenoble | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | at Metz | 1–4 | L |
Last 5 at home: LLLDW
Dunkerque: last 6
DWLLWD · 7 scored, 8 conceded
| 23 Oct | vs Metz | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | at Nantes | 3–2 | W |
| 9 Oct | vs Annecy | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Sep | at PAU | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Saint Etienne | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs Clermont Foot | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 away: WLLDL
Season stats
| Rodez Aveyron | Dunkerque | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.60 | Goals scored per game | 1.40 |
| 2.20 | Goals conceded per game | 1.60 |
| 1.60 | Scored per game at home | 1.33 |
| 1.60 | Scored per game away | 1.50 |
| 70% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 40% |
| 60% | Both teams scored | 60% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 40% | Failed to score | 40% |
League matches only, 10 games each.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Annecy | 10 | +2 | 16 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Metz | 10 | +2 | 14 | DWLDL |
| 9 | Dijon | 10 | -1 | 12 | LLWWW |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 10 | -2 | 12 | DWLLW |
| 11 | Guingamp | 10 | -2 | 11 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Sochaux | 10 | -4 | 11 | LLDDW |
| 13 | Boulogne | 10 | +0 | 10 | DWDLD |
| 14 | Rodez Aveyron | 10 | -6 | 10 | WLLLL |
| 15 | Nantes | 10 | -6 | 8 | LLDWL |
| 16 | Grenoble | 10 | -8 | 8 | LLLDW |
| 17 | Clermont Foot | 10 | -5 | 7 | LDLDD |
Match context
- Rest days
- Rodez Aveyron 6Dunkerque 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Rodez Aveyron 2 · Dunkerque 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 11°C · wind 7 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Ligue 2 average: 2.68 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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