Nantes vs Clermont Foot prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Nantes to win: 67%, about 2 in 3
Goals call3+ goals 52% · bookies 52%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The three analyses converge on a match with significant attacking potential, driven by Nantes' home scoring rate and Clermont's away goals. While the market leans heavily towards a home victory, the combined data suggests a more balanced contest where the draw or a high-scoring affair is highly probable.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
All three think Clermont Foot's chances are better than the bookmakers say. None of them makes Clermont Foot favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersNantes' high scoring potential at home is likely to meet Clermont's ability to score on the road.
Nantes averages 1.00 goals scored per game at home, while Clermont averages 1.50 goals scored away.
Clermont Foot: clearly underrated
More goalsMed The Dressing Room
the table and pressureBoth sides are struggling near the bottom of the table, making this a high-stakes encounter for survival.
Nantes sits 15th with 8 points, while Clermont is 17th with 7 points. Nantes has had 6 days rest, compared to Clermont's 7 days.
Clermont Foot: strongly underrated
High The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market overvalues Nantes' home strength given their inconsistent recent form and defensive issues.
Nantes' recent form includes 3 losses in 6 games. The published odds of 67% for a home win seem high given their 1.70 goals conceded per game.
Clermont Foot: strongly underrated
Fewer goalsHigh Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Nantes are clear favourites at 67%, with Clermont Foot on 13% and the draw on 20%. Nantes are 15th and Clermont Foot 17th in Ligue 2. In their last five league games, Nantes won one and Clermont Foot none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Nantes win or draw
- 87%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 80%
- Clermont Foot win or draw
- 33%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 76%
- 3+ goals
- 52%
- 4+ goals
- 30%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 46%
- No
- 54%
We expect about 2.0 goals from Nantes and 0.7 from Clermont Foot. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (13%), 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 3–0 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67% | 20% | 13% | Stats preview | #1763 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Nantes: last 6
LLDWLW · 5 scored, 6 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Saint Etienne | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Dunkerque | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Reims | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | at Boulogne | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | at Sochaux | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Sep | vs Nancy | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: LDWLL
Clermont Foot: last 6
LDLDDD · 7 scored, 10 conceded
| 23 Oct | vs Guingamp | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Oct | at Laval | 3–3 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs RED Star FC 93 | 2–3 | L |
| 18 Sep | at Grenoble | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Sep | vs Boulogne | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Sep | at Dunkerque | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 away: DDDLD
Season stats
| Nantes | Clermont Foot | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.10 | Goals scored per game | 0.90 |
| 1.70 | Goals conceded per game | 1.40 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 0.50 |
| 1.20 | Scored per game away | 1.50 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 30% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 60% |
| 20% | Clean sheets | 30% |
| 40% | Failed to score | 40% |
League matches only, 10 games each.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sochaux | 10 | -4 | 11 | LLDDW |
| 13 | Boulogne | 10 | +0 | 10 | DWDLD |
| 14 | Rodez | 10 | -6 | 10 | WLLLL |
| 15 | Nantes | 10 | -6 | 8 | LLDWL |
| 16 | Grenoble | 10 | -8 | 8 | LLLDW |
| 17 | Clermont Foot | 10 | -5 | 7 | LDLDD |
| 18 | Laval | 10 | -8 | 6 | LDLDL |
Match context
- Travel for Clermont Foot
- 389 km
- Rest days
- Nantes 6Clermont Foot 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Nantes 2 · Clermont Foot 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 10°C · wind 14 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Ligue 2 average: 2.68 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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