Grenoble vs Dijon FCO prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Dijon FCO to win: 43%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 53% · bookies 53%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The three readings converge on a match where Dijon is the slight favourite, supported by their better table position and offensive output. However, the defensive frailties of both teams and the high goal-scoring environment suggest a match with plenty of chances for goals.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think Dijon FCO's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersDijon's high scoring rate suggests an open game, but Grenoble's defensive weaknesses are a major concern.
Dijon averages 1.70 goals scored per game, while Grenoble concedes 1.70 goals per game. Dijon has a 90% BTTS rate in this competition, contrasting with Grenoble's 40%. Grenoble's home scoring average is low at 0.50 goals per game.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureDijon enters the match with a superior league position and better recent form than the struggling Grenoble side.
Dijon sits 9th with 12 points from 10 games, whereas Grenoble is 16th with 8 points. Dijon's last six matches show three wins, while Grenoble has only managed two wins in their last six fixtures.
Dijon FCO: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market may be overestimating Dijon's ability to win, given their defensive inconsistency away from home.
Dijon's away form has seen them concede 8 goals in their last five fixtures. Grenoble's recent home run of five matches has seen them concede 6 goals, despite only scoring 3. Both sides have a high goal-scoring environment average of 2.68 goals per match.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Dijon FCO are slight favourites at 43%, with Grenoble on 29% and the draw on 28%. Grenoble are 16th and Dijon FCO 9th in Ligue 2. In their last five league games, Grenoble won one and Dijon FCO three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Grenoble win or draw
- 57%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 72%
- Dijon FCO win or draw
- 72%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 72%
- 3+ goals
- 47%
- 4+ goals
- 25%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 51%
- No
- 49%
We expect about 1.1 goals from Grenoble and 1.4 from Dijon FCO. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 0–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 1–0 (9%), 0–2 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28% | 28% | 43% | Stats preview | #1760 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Grenoble: last 6
LLLDWL · 4 scored, 9 conceded
| 23 Oct | at PAU | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Oct | vs Boulogne | 0–2 | L |
| 9 Oct | at Montpellier | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs Clermont Foot | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Sep | at Rodez | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs Annecy | 1–2 | L |
Last 5 at home: LDLDD
Dijon FCO: last 6
LLWWWD · 13 scored, 12 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Rodez | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Oct | at Reims | 2–4 | L |
| 12 Oct | vs Metz | 4–2 | W |
| 18 Sep | at Annecy | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Laval | 3–2 | W |
| 4 Sep | at Boulogne | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 away: LWDDD
Season stats
| Grenoble | Dijon FCO | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.90 | Goals scored per game | 1.70 |
| 1.70 | Goals conceded per game | 1.80 |
| 0.50 | Scored per game at home | 2.00 |
| 1.17 | Scored per game away | 1.40 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| 40% | Both teams scored | 90% |
| 30% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 40% | Failed to score | 10% |
League matches only, 10 games each.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | RED Star FC 93 | 10 | +1 | 17 | LLWWW |
| 7 | Annecy | 10 | +2 | 16 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Metz | 10 | +2 | 14 | DWLDL |
| 9 | Dijon FCO | 10 | -1 | 12 | LLWWW |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 10 | -2 | 12 | DWLLW |
| 11 | Guingamp | 10 | -2 | 11 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Sochaux | 10 | -4 | 11 | LLDDW |
| 13 | Boulogne | 10 | +0 | 10 | DWDLD |
| 14 | Rodez | 10 | -6 | 10 | WLLLL |
| 15 | Nantes | 10 | -6 | 8 | LLDWL |
| 16 | Grenoble | 10 | -8 | 8 | LLLDW |
| 17 | Clermont Foot | 10 | -5 | 7 | LDLDD |
| 18 | Laval | 10 | -8 | 6 | LDLDL |
Match context
- Travel for Dijon FCO
- 243 km
- Rest days
- Grenoble 7Dijon FCO 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Grenoble 1 · Dijon FCO 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 11°C · wind 2 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Ligue 2 average: 2.68 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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