Lyon vs Angers prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Lyon to win: 71%, about 3 in 4
Goals call3+ goals 63% · bookies 63%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The three readings converge on a Lyon victory, supported by their strong league position and high scoring output at home. All analysts suggest a high-scoring affair is probable, aligning with the overall match environment.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
All three think Angers's chances are better than the bookmakers say. None of them makes Angers favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersLyon averages 2.50 goals scored at home, while Angers concede 1.88 goals per game.
Angers: strongly underrated
High The Dressing Room
the table and pressureLyon's solid league standing and home advantage should see them through this fixture.
Lyon sits 5th in the table with 14 points from 8 games. They have had 5 days rest, while Angers had 6 days. Lyon's home form is strong, with 4 wins in 5 matches.
Angers: strongly underrated
High The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market's belief in Lyon is well-founded given their attacking efficiency.
Angers' away form has seen them concede 6 goals in their last 4 fixtures.
Angers: strongly underrated
High Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Lyon are clear favourites at 71%, with Angers on 12% and the draw on 17%. Lyon are 5th and Angers 14th in Ligue 1. In their last five league games, Lyon won two and Angers one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Lyon win or draw
- 88%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 83%
- Angers win or draw
- 29%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 83%
- 3+ goals
- 63%
- 4+ goals
- 41%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 53%
- No
- 47%
We expect about 2.4 goals from Lyon and 0.9 from Angers. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%), 3–0 (9%), 1–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 62% | 21% | 17% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1867 | |
| 2 | 71% | 17% | 12% | Prices moved | #2123 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Lyon: last 6
LLWWLW · 10 scored, 10 conceded
| 26 Oct | at Paris Saint Germain | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | at 1899 Hoffenheim UEFA Europa League | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Nice | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Oct | vs Crystal Palace UEFA Europa League | 3–2 | W |
| 9 Oct | at Lens | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Rennes | 4–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: WWWWD
Angers: last 6
DLLWDL · 6 scored, 12 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Lorient | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Marseille | 2–5 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Stade Brestois 29 | 1–5 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Estac Troyes | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | at Le Havre | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Rennes | 1–2 | L |
Last 4 away: LDWD
Season stats
| Lyon | Angers | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.62 | Goals scored per game | 1.12 |
| 0.88 | Goals conceded per game | 1.88 |
| 2.50 | Scored per game at home | 1.00 |
| 0.75 | Scored per game away | 1.33 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 38% | Clean sheets | 38% |
| 25% | Failed to score | 38% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rennes | 8 | +4 | 16 | WLWLW |
| 3 | Lille | 8 | +5 | 15 | DDWLW |
| 4 | Monaco | 8 | +4 | 15 | DLDWD |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | +6 | 14 | LWLWD |
| 6 | Paris FC | 8 | +4 | 14 | LWLWD |
| 7 | Lens | 8 | +4 | 13 | WWWLD |
| 8 | Marseille | 8 | +5 | 12 | WWWLL |
| … | |||||
| 11 | Toulouse | 8 | +1 | 10 | DWDWD |
| 12 | Auxerre | 8 | -6 | 10 | DWLWW |
| 13 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | +2 | 9 | LDWLL |
| 14 | Angers | 8 | -6 | 8 | DLLWD |
| 15 | Le Mans | 8 | -5 | 7 | DLLWD |
| 16 | Strasbourg | 8 | -6 | 7 | LLLLD |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 8 | -11 | 5 | DLLLL |
Match context
- Travel for Angers
- 454 km
- Rest days
- Lyon 5Angers 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Lyon 3 · Angers 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 9°C · wind 3 km/h
- Dry
- Coaches
- Paulo Fonseca
- Lyon, since Oct 2026
- S. Gilli
- Angers, since Oct 2026
- Goals in this league
- Ligue 1 average: 2.97 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
