Monterrey vs Club Tijuana prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Monterrey to win: 63%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 64% · bookies 64%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
Key factors
In short
Monterrey are clear favourites at 63%, with Club Tijuana on 17% and the draw on 20%. Monterrey are 7th and Club Tijuana 8th in Liga MX. In their last five league games, Monterrey won two and Club Tijuana one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Monterrey win or draw
- 83%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 80%
- Club Tijuana win or draw
- 37%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 84%
- 3+ goals
- 63%
- 4+ goals
- 41%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 58%
- No
- 42%
We expect about 2.2 goals from Monterrey and 1.1 from Club Tijuana. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–0 (9%), 1–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%), 3–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 63% | 20% | 17% | Stats preview | #2148 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Monterrey: last 6
LWWDLW · 10 scored, 8 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Guadalajara Chivas | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Oct | at Puebla | 4–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | vs CF Pachuca | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Club America | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | at Atlante FC | 2–4 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Cruz Azul | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: LWWDL
Club Tijuana: last 6
WDDDLD · 11 scored, 9 conceded
| 26 Oct | vs Santos Laguna | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Oct | at Toluca | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Puebla | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | at FC Juarez | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Atlas | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Sep | at CF Pachuca | 2–2 | D |
Last 5 away: DDDLL
Season stats
| Monterrey | Club Tijuana | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.77 | Goals scored per game | 1.62 |
| 1.38 | Goals conceded per game | 1.31 |
| 1.86 | Scored per game at home | 1.75 |
| 1.67 | Scored per game away | 1.40 |
| 54% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| 62% | Both teams scored | 62% |
| 23% | Clean sheets | 31% |
| 23% | Failed to score | 23% |
League matches only, 13 games each.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Atlas | 14 | -1 | 24 | WLWDW |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | +10 | 23 | DDDLD |
| 6 | Leon | 14 | +3 | 22 | DWLDW |
| 7 | Monterrey | 13 | +5 | 20 | LWWDL |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 13 | +4 | 20 | WDDDL |
| 9 | Club Queretaro | 13 | -1 | 20 | LLLWW |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 14 | +0 | 19 | LWWWW |
| 11 | Atletico San Luis | 14 | -3 | 19 | WWDLW |
Match context
- Travel for Club Tijuana
- 1,786 km
- +1 h time zone
- Rest days
- Monterrey 6Club Tijuana 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: Monterrey 3 · Club Tijuana 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 25°C · wind 9 km/h
- Dry
- Coaches
- M. Almeyda
- Monterrey, since Oct 2026
- S. Abreu
- Club Tijuana, since Oct 2026
- Goals in this league
- Liga MX average: 3.01 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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