Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Guadalajara Chivas to win: 66%, about 2 in 3
Goals call3+ goals 61% · bookies 61%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
Key factors
In short
Guadalajara Chivas are clear favourites at 66%, with Atlante FC on 15% and the draw on 19%. Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd and Atlante FC 16th in Liga MX. In their last five league games, Guadalajara Chivas won two and Atlante FC two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Guadalajara Chivas win or draw
- 86%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 81%
- Atlante FC win or draw
- 34%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 82%
- 3+ goals
- 61%
- 4+ goals
- 38%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 54%
- No
- 46%
We expect about 2.2 goals from Guadalajara Chivas and 0.9 from Atlante FC. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 3–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 66% | 19% | 14% | Stats preview | #2150 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Guadalajara Chivas: last 6
WWDDLD · 6 scored, 6 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Monterrey | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | vs Necaxa | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Tigres UANL | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | at Atlas | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Club Queretaro | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | at Club America | 2–2 | D |
Last 5 at home: WDLWW
Atlante FC: last 6
LWLLWD · 7 scored, 8 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Atletico San Luis | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Oct | at FC Juarez | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Club Queretaro | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Monterrey | 4–2 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Puebla | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 away: WLDDL
Season stats
| Guadalajara Chivas | Atlante FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | Goals scored per game | 1.00 |
| 0.86 | Goals conceded per game | 1.43 |
| 1.57 | Scored per game at home | 1.00 |
| 1.43 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 29% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 36% |
| 43% | Both teams scored | 57% |
| 43% | Clean sheets | 14% |
| 14% | Failed to score | 36% |
League matches only, 14 games each.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 13 | +15 | 27 | LWWDW |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | +9 | 26 | WWWDD |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | +9 | 26 | WWDDL |
| 4 | Atlas | 14 | -1 | 24 | WLWDW |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | +10 | 23 | DDDLD |
| 6 | Leon | 14 | +3 | 22 | DWLDW |
| … | |||||
| 13 | CF Pachuca | 14 | +3 | 16 | WLLDL |
| 14 | Puebla | 14 | -5 | 16 | LLDDL |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 14 | -4 | 15 | DLDWW |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 14 | -6 | 14 | LWLLW |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | -11 | 10 | DLLDL |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 14 | -24 | 5 | DLLDL |
Match context
- Travel for Atlante FC
- 467 km
- Rest days
- Guadalajara Chivas 6Atlante FC 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Guadalajara Chivas 2 · Atlante FC 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 26°C · wind 9 km/h
- Dry
- Coaches
- G. Milito
- Guadalajara Chivas, since Oct 2026
- Miguel Herrera
- Atlante FC, since Oct 2026
- Goals in this league
- Liga MX average: 3.01 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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