Club America vs Club Tijuana prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Club America to win: 69%, about 2 in 3
Goals call3+ goals 65% · bookies 65%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think a draw is underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersAmerica's attack at home should drive the goal count
America score 2.00 per game at home and have failed to score in 0% of matches, while Tijuana concede 1.31 per game and shipped 13 in their last five away games. America's matches go over 2.5 goals 69% of the time and both teams score in 69%, so a busy night looks likely.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureTop spot meets mid-table comfort with equal rest
Both sides have had 3 days' rest with 3 games in 14, so freshness is even and America's home form (W2 D2 L1) adds pressure on the visitors.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongHead-to-head draws argue the 69% is a touch high
Four of the last six meetings were draws and the 2026 fixture finished 0-0, yet the market gives America 69%.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Club America are clear favourites at 69%, with Club Tijuana on 13% and the draw on 18%. Club America are 1st and Club Tijuana 8th in Liga MX. In their last five league games, Club America won three and Club Tijuana one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Club America win or draw
- 87%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 82%
- Club Tijuana win or draw
- 31%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 85%
- 3+ goals
- 65%
- 4+ goals
- 43%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 56%
- No
- 44%
We expect about 2.4 goals from Club America and 1.0 from Club Tijuana. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (8%), 1–1 (8%), 3–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 69% | 18% | 13% | Stats preview | #1715 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Club America: last 6
LWWDWD · 18 scored, 12 conceded
| 26 Oct | vs CF Pachuca | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | at Atlas | 5–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | at Leon | 5–3 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Monterrey | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | at Necaxa | 4–2 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Guadalajara Chivas | 2–2 | D |
Last 5 at home: LDDWW
Club Tijuana: last 6
WDDDLD · 11 scored, 9 conceded
| 26 Oct | vs Santos Laguna | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Oct | at Toluca | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Puebla | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | at FC Juarez | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Atlas | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Sep | at CF Pachuca | 2–2 | D |
Last 5 away: DDDLL
Season stats
| Club America | Club Tijuana | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.54 | Goals scored per game | 1.62 |
| 1.38 | Goals conceded per game | 1.31 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.75 |
| 3.00 | Scored per game away | 1.40 |
| 69% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| 69% | Both teams scored | 62% |
| 31% | Clean sheets | 31% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 23% |
League matches only, 13 games each.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 13 | +15 | 27 | LWWDW |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | +9 | 26 | WWWDD |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | +9 | 26 | WWDDL |
| 4 | Atlas | 14 | -1 | 24 | WLWDW |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | +10 | 23 | DDDLD |
| 6 | Leon | 14 | +3 | 22 | DWLDW |
| 7 | Monterrey | 13 | +5 | 20 | LWWDL |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 13 | +4 | 20 | WDDDL |
| 9 | Club Queretaro | 13 | -1 | 20 | LLLWW |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 14 | +0 | 19 | LWWWW |
| 11 | Atletico San Luis | 14 | -3 | 19 | WWDLW |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Club America won 2, Club Tijuana 0, 4 draws; 2.7 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | Club Tijuana | 0–0 | Club America | Liga MX |
| 17 Jul 2025 | Club America | 3–1 | Club Tijuana | Liga MX |
| 17 Jan 2025 | Club America | 1–1 | Club Tijuana | Liga MX |
| 22 Nov 2024 | Club Tijuana | 2–2 | Club America | Liga MX |
| 24 Oct 2024 | Club Tijuana | 2–2 | Club America | Liga MX |
| 14 Jan 2024 | Club Tijuana | 0–2 | Club America | Liga MX |
Match context
- Travel for Club Tijuana
- 2,297 km
- +1 h time zone
- Rest days
- Club America 3Club Tijuana 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Club America 3 · Club Tijuana 3
- Weather at kick-off
- 17°C · wind 10 km/h
- Rain expected
- Coaches
- G. Almada
- Club America, since Oct 2026
- S. Abreu
- Club Tijuana, since Oct 2026
- Goals in this league
- Liga MX average: 3.01 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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