FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Club Queretaro to win: 42%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 54% · bookies 54%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three lean the same way: Queretaro slightly favoured despite the travel, with Juarez's 5-point season and 2.36 goals conceded per game the key worry. The sceptic tempers the away confidence after Queretaro's two heavy recent defeats. Goals probabilities sit near the published 54% for over 2.5, with both teams' scoring records mixed.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think Club Queretaro's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTwo leaky defences point to goals, but Juarez's scoring drought caps the total
Juarez concede 2.36 per game and keep clean sheets just 7% of the time, while Queretaro score 1.29 per game away. Juarez fail to score in 43% of matches, so Queretaro's 1.5 expected goals outweigh Juarez's 1.3. Queretaro's 31% clean-sheet rate suggests they can shut out a blunt home attack.
Club Queretaro: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureBottom-side Juarez under pressure but Queretaro's away run earns respect
Juarez sit 18th with 5 points from 14 games (W1 D2 L11) and have lost three of their last five at home. Queretaro are 9th on 20 points from 13 and have won three of their last five away. Both had 3 games in 14 days; Juarez get an extra rest day.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongQueretaro's away wins came against weaker sides than the market implies
Queretaro's away form reads W W W then two heavy defeats, including 0-5 at Santos Laguna and 1-3 to Cruz Azul recently. Juarez's only recent win was 2-0 v Tigres, and they drew 1-1 at Necaxa last time out. The published 42% away chance and 54% over 2.5 look fair, maybe a touch high on the away side.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Club Queretaro are slight favourites at 42%, with FC Juarez on 32% and the draw on 26%. FC Juarez are 18th and Club Queretaro 9th in Liga MX. In their last five league games, FC Juarez won none and Club Queretaro two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- FC Juarez win or draw
- 58%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Club Queretaro win or draw
- 68%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 78%
- 3+ goals
- 54%
- 4+ goals
- 32%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 57%
- No
- 43%
We expect about 1.3 goals from FC Juarez and 1.5 from Club Queretaro. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (9%), 2–1 (8%), 1–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32% | 26% | 42% | Stats preview | #1799 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
FC Juarez: last 6
DLLDLW · 5 scored, 10 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Necaxa | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Oct | vs Atlante FC | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | at Cruz Azul | 0–5 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Club Tijuana | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | at Leon | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Tigres UANL | 2–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: LDWLL
Club Queretaro: last 6
LLLWWD · 7 scored, 11 conceded
| 26 Oct | vs Cruz Azul | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Oct | at Atletico San Luis | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | at Santos Laguna | 0–5 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Atlante FC | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | at Guadalajara Chivas | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Sep | vs Leon | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 away: LLWWW
Season stats
| FC Juarez | Club Queretaro | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.64 | Goals scored per game | 1.31 |
| 2.36 | Goals conceded per game | 1.38 |
| 0.71 | Scored per game at home | 1.33 |
| 0.57 | Scored per game away | 1.29 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 54% |
| 7% | Clean sheets | 31% |
| 43% | Failed to score | 23% |
League matches only, 14 and 13 games.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Leon | 14 | +3 | 22 | DWLDW |
| 7 | Monterrey | 13 | +5 | 20 | LWWDL |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 13 | +4 | 20 | WDDDL |
| 9 | Club Queretaro | 13 | -1 | 20 | LLLWW |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 14 | +0 | 19 | LWWWW |
| 11 | Atletico San Luis | 14 | -3 | 19 | WWDLW |
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 14 | -3 | 17 | DLWDL |
| … | |||||
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 14 | -4 | 15 | DLDWW |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 14 | -6 | 14 | LWLLW |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | -11 | 10 | DLLDL |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 14 | -24 | 5 | DLLDL |
Match context
- Travel for Club Queretaro
- 1,377 km
- Rest days
- FC Juarez 7Club Queretaro 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: FC Juarez 3 · Club Queretaro 3
- Weather at kick-off
- 23°C · wind 10 km/h
- Dry
- Coaches
- T. Campos
- FC Juarez, since Oct 2026
- E. González
- Club Queretaro, since Oct 2026
- Goals in this league
- Liga MX average: 3.01 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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