Santos Laguna vs Necaxa prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Santos Laguna to win: 51%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 68% · bookies 68%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
Key factors
In short
Santos Laguna are favourites at 51%, with Necaxa on 26% and the draw on 23%. Santos Laguna are 10th and Necaxa 17th in Liga MX. In their last five league games, Santos Laguna won four and Necaxa none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Santos Laguna win or draw
- 74%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 77%
- Necaxa win or draw
- 49%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 86%
- 3+ goals
- 68%
- 4+ goals
- 46%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 66%
- No
- 34%
We expect about 2.0 goals from Santos Laguna and 1.4 from Necaxa. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–1 (9%). Even the likeliest exact score happens less than 1 time in 10. Next: 1–1 (9%), 2–2 (7%), 2–0 (6%), 1–2 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 51% | 23% | 26% | Stats preview | #2211 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Santos Laguna: last 6
LWWWWW · 14 scored, 7 conceded
| 26 Oct | at Club Tijuana | 1–4 | L |
| 22 Oct | vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Club Queretaro | 5–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Atletico San Luis | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs CF Pachuca | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Sep | at Toluca | 3–2 | W |
Last 5 at home: WWWWD
Necaxa: last 6
DLLDLL · 7 scored, 14 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs FC Juarez | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Oct | at Guadalajara Chivas | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Atlas | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | at CF Pachuca | 3–3 | D |
| 28 Sep | vs Club America | 2–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | at Atletico San Luis | 1–3 | L |
Last 5 away: LDLDD
Season stats
| Santos Laguna | Necaxa | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.43 | Goals scored per game | 1.14 |
| 1.43 | Goals conceded per game | 1.93 |
| 1.43 | Scored per game at home | 1.12 |
| 1.43 | Scored per game away | 1.17 |
| 57% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| 43% | Both teams scored | 79% |
| 29% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 36% | Failed to score | 21% |
League matches only, 14 games each.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Monterrey | 13 | +5 | 20 | LWWDL |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 13 | +4 | 20 | WDDDL |
| 9 | Club Queretaro | 13 | -1 | 20 | LLLWW |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 14 | +0 | 19 | LWWWW |
| 11 | Atletico San Luis | 14 | -3 | 19 | WWDLW |
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 14 | -3 | 17 | DLWDL |
| 13 | CF Pachuca | 14 | +3 | 16 | WLLDL |
| 14 | Puebla | 14 | -5 | 16 | LLDDL |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 14 | -4 | 15 | DLDWW |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 14 | -6 | 14 | LWLLW |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | -11 | 10 | DLLDL |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 14 | -24 | 5 | DLLDL |
Match context
- Travel for Necaxa
- 423 km
- Rest days
- Santos Laguna 6Necaxa 8
- Matches in the last 14 days: Santos Laguna 2 · Necaxa 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 29°C · wind 9 km/h
- Dry
- Coaches
- Renato Paiva
- Santos Laguna, since Oct 2026
- Juan Reynoso
- Necaxa, since Oct 2026
- Goals in this league
- Liga MX average: 3.01 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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