Java United vs Bhayangkara FC prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Java to win: 50%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 54%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
The Verdict
All three readings agree the game is tight and goal-friendly: Java's home scoring and rest against Bhayangkara's unbeaten, draw-heavy run. The published 50/24/26 split and 54% over 2.5 look broadly fair, with the sceptic nudging draw and away probabilities slightly up.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersBoth sides score freely; goals at both ends look likely in Ternate.
Java United have scored 2.00 per game at home but kept no clean sheets, while Bhayangkara average 2.33 away. Both teams scored in 86% of Java's matches, and the model has both teams scoring at 55% with 3+ goals at 54%.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureJava's extra rest and home form edge a tight mid-table meeting.
Java United sit 12th on 7 points, Bhayangkara 8th on 11, both from 7 games. Java have 5 days' rest to Bhayangkara's 3 after three games in 14 days, and arrive with a home run of W W D, scoring 6 in those three.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongBhayangkara's unbeaten run makes the home lean look slightly generous.
Bhayangkara are unbeaten (W2 D5 L0) and unbeaten in their last six, with four draws in that run. Java have lost two of their last six and concede 1.43 per game. The 50% home probability looks a touch high; a draw-heavy split fits better.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Java United are favourites at 50%, with Bhayangkara FC on 26% and the draw on 24%. Java United are 13th and Bhayangkara FC 8th in Liga 1 Indonesia. In their last five league games, Java United won two and Bhayangkara FC two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Java United win or draw
- 74%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 76%
- Bhayangkara FC win or draw
- 50%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 77%
- 3+ goals
- 54%
- 4+ goals
- 32%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 55%
- No
- 45%
We expect about 1.7 goals from Java United and 1.1 from Bhayangkara FC. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (8%), 0–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% | 24% | 26% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1747 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Java United: last 6
DDWWLL · 9 scored, 9 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Persijap | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Oct | at Isenmulang Kalteng | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Oct | vs Bali United | 3–2 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Pusamania Borneo | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Persija | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | at Persita | 2–3 | L |
Last 3 at home: WWD
Bhayangkara FC: last 6
DWDDWD · 10 scored, 7 conceded
| 26 Oct | vs PSM Makassar | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Oct | vs PSIM Yogyakarta | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Oct | at Persepam Madura Utd | 3–3 | D |
| 10 Oct | at Arema FC | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Isenmulang Kalteng | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | at Dewa United | 2–2 | D |
Last 3 away: DDD
Season stats
| Java United | Bhayangkara FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.43 | Goals scored per game | 1.57 |
| 1.43 | Goals conceded per game | 1.14 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.00 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 2.33 |
| 43% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 43% |
| 86% | Both teams scored | 57% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 43% |
| 14% | Failed to score | 14% |
League matches only, 7 games each.
Liga 1 Indonesia table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Persepam Madura Utd | 7 | +2 | 13 | LWDLW |
| 6 | Persita | 6 | +3 | 12 | DWWDW |
| 7 | Persebaya Surabaya | 7 | +3 | 12 | WLDWD |
| 8 | Bhayangkara FC | 7 | +3 | 11 | DWDDW |
| 9 | Persik Kediri | 7 | +2 | 10 | LWLWD |
| 10 | Arema FC | 7 | +2 | 9 | WLLDD |
| 11 | Pusamania Borneo | 6 | -1 | 9 | WLWLW |
| 12 | PSM Makassar | 7 | -3 | 9 | DWWLD |
| 13 | Java United | 7 | +0 | 7 −2 | DDWWL |
| 14 | Garudayaksa | 7 | -7 | 5 | LLWLD |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 7 | -3 | 4 | LLDWL |
| 16 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 7 | -9 | 3 −2 | DDWLL |
Match context
- Travel for Bhayangkara FC
- 2,552 km
- +2 h time zone
- Rest days
- Java United 5Bhayangkara FC 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Java United 3 · Bhayangkara FC 3
- Weather at kick-off
- 28°C · wind 4 km/h
- Rain expected
- Goals in this league
- Liga 1 Indonesia average: 2.89 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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