PSS Sleman vs Pusamania Borneo prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Pusamania Borneo to win: 45%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 56% · bookies 56% · ✓ 3 goals
The Verdict
The consensus points towards a match where Pusamania Borneo is the slight favourite, supported by their better league position and recent form. Both analysts agree on the high probability of goals, with the market suggesting a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think PSS Sleman's chances are better than the bookmakers say. It does not make PSS Sleman favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersPSS Sleman's high-scoring home attack meets Pusamania Borneo's solid away form.
PSS Sleman averages 2.00 goals scored at home and concedes 1.83 goals per game. Pusamania Borneo has scored 5 goals in its last 3 away fixtures.
Pusamania Borneo: slightly overrated
More goalsLow The Dressing Room
the table and pressurePusamania Borneo holds a slight advantage in the league standings and recent points accumulation.
PB sits 2 places above PSS in the table, having secured 6 points from 5 games.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market correctly prices the away side, but the high goal expectation suggests a scoring match is likely.
The market gives PB 42% probability, aligning with their 4 wins in the last 6 H2H encounters. PSS's season average of 1.50 goals scored per game is high.
PSS Sleman: slightly underrated
More goalsLow Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Pusamania Borneo are favourites at 45%, with PSS Sleman on 28% and the draw on 27%. PSS Sleman are 15th and Pusamania Borneo 13th in Liga 1 Indonesia. In their last five league games, PSS Sleman won one and Pusamania Borneo two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- PSS Sleman win or draw
- 55%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Pusamania Borneo win or draw
- 72%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 79%
- 3+ goals
- 56%
- 4+ goals
- 34%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 58%
- No
- 42%
We expect about 1.3 goals from PSS Sleman and 1.6 from Pusamania Borneo. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (9%), 0–2 (7%), 2–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
PSS Sleman: last 6
LDWLLL · 9 scored, 11 conceded
| 22 Oct | at Persik Kediri | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | at Persebaya Surabaya | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs PSM Makassar | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Dewa United | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Persepam Madura Utd | 1–3 | L |
| 4 Sep | at Bali United | 1–2 | L |
Last 2 at home: WL
Pusamania Borneo: last 6
WWLWLW · 9 scored, 6 conceded
| 21 Oct | at Tainan City AFC Challenge League | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Yangon United AFC Challenge League | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Java United | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Bali United | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | vs Dewa United | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | at Persijap | 1–0 | W |
Last 3 away: WLW
Season stats
| PSS Sleman | Pusamania Borneo | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | Goals scored per game | 0.80 |
| 1.83 | Goals conceded per game | 1.20 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game at home | 0.67 |
| 1.25 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 100% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 40% |
| 83% | Both teams scored | 40% |
| 17% | Clean sheets | 40% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 20% |
League matches only, 6 and 5 games.
Liga 1 Indonesia table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bhayangkara FC | 7 | +3 | 11 | DWDDW |
| 9 | Persik Kediri | 7 | +2 | 10 | LWLWD |
| 10 | Arema FC | 7 | +2 | 9 | WLLDD |
| 11 | Pusamania Borneo | 6 | -1 | 9 | WLWLW |
| 12 | PSM Makassar | 7 | -3 | 9 | DWWLD |
| 13 | Java United | 7 | +0 | 7 −2 | DDWWL |
| 14 | Garudayaksa | 7 | -7 | 5 | LLWLD |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 7 | -3 | 4 | LLDWL |
| 16 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 7 | -9 | 3 −2 | DDWLL |
| 17 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 7 | -8 | 2 | DLLLL |
| 18 | Persijap | 7 | -12 | 1 | DLLLL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: PSS Sleman won 1, Pusamania Borneo 4, 1 draw; 1.5 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Feb 2025 | Pusamania Borneo | 1–0 | PSS Sleman | Liga 1 |
| 12 Sep 2024 | PSS Sleman | 1–1 | Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
| 14 Mar 2024 | PSS Sleman | 0–1 | Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
| 17 Sep 2023 | Pusamania Borneo | 1–0 | PSS Sleman | Liga 1 |
| 11 Jun 2023 | PSS Sleman | 0–1 | Pusamania Borneo | Friendlies Clubs |
| 18 Mar 2023 | PSS Sleman | 2–1 | Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
Match context
- Travel for Pusamania Borneo
- 1,020 km
- -1 h time zone
- Rest days
- PSS Sleman 5Pusamania Borneo 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: PSS Sleman 2 · Pusamania Borneo 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 26°C · wind 8 km/h
- Rain expected
- Goals in this league
- Liga 1 Indonesia average: 2.89 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
