PSIM Yogyakarta vs Pusamania Borneo prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
PSIM Yogyakarta to win: 41%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 64%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
Key factors
In short
PSIM Yogyakarta are slight favourites at 41%, with Pusamania Borneo on 30% and the draw on 29%. PSIM Yogyakarta are 17th and Pusamania Borneo 11th in Liga 1 Indonesia. In their last five league games, PSIM Yogyakarta won none and Pusamania Borneo three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- PSIM Yogyakarta win or draw
- 71%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 71%
- Pusamania Borneo win or draw
- 59%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 63%
- 3+ goals
- 36%
- 4+ goals
- 17%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 43%
- No
- 57%
We expect about 1.2 goals from PSIM Yogyakarta and 1.0 from Pusamania Borneo. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (14%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (12%), 0–1 (11%), 2–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41% | 29% | 29% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1887 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
PSIM Yogyakarta: last 6
DLLLLL · 2 scored, 10 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Isenmulang Kalteng | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Oct | at Bhayangkara FC | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Oct | vs PSM Makassar | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Persija | 0–4 | L |
| 18 Sep | at Persepam Madura Utd | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | at Persebaya Surabaya | 0–1 | L |
Last 3 at home: LLD
Pusamania Borneo: last 6
WWWLWL · 10 scored, 7 conceded
| 27 Oct | at PSS Sleman | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | at Tainan City AFC Challenge League | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Yangon United AFC Challenge League | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Java United | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Bali United | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | vs Dewa United | 1–3 | L |
Last 4 away: WWLW
Season stats
| PSIM Yogyakarta | Pusamania Borneo | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.43 | Goals scored per game | 1.00 |
| 1.57 | Goals conceded per game | 1.17 |
| 0.67 | Scored per game at home | 0.67 |
| 0.25 | Scored per game away | 1.33 |
| 43% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 43% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 14% | Clean sheets | 33% |
| 57% | Failed to score | 17% |
League matches only, 7 and 6 games.
Liga 1 Indonesia table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bhayangkara FC | 7 | +3 | 11 | DWDDW |
| 9 | Persik Kediri | 7 | +2 | 10 | LWLWD |
| 10 | Arema FC | 7 | +2 | 9 | WLLDD |
| 11 | Pusamania Borneo | 6 | -1 | 9 | WLWLW |
| 12 | PSM Makassar | 7 | -3 | 9 | DWWLD |
| 13 | Java United | 7 | +0 | 7 −2 | DDWWL |
| 14 | Garudayaksa | 7 | -7 | 5 | LLWLD |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 7 | -3 | 4 | LLDWL |
| 16 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 7 | -9 | 3 −2 | DDWLL |
| 17 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 7 | -8 | 2 | DLLLL |
| 18 | Persijap | 7 | -12 | 1 | DLLLL |
Match context
- Travel for Pusamania Borneo
- 1,020 km
- -1 h time zone
- Rest days
- PSIM Yogyakarta 8Pusamania Borneo 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: PSIM Yogyakarta 2 · Pusamania Borneo 3
- Weather at kick-off
- 28°C · wind 7 km/h
- Rain expected
- Goals in this league
- Liga 1 Indonesia average: 2.89 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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