Garudayaksa vs PSS Sleman prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Garudayaksa to win: 46%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 59%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
Key factors
In short
Garudayaksa are favourites at 46%, with PSS Sleman on 30% and the draw on 24%. Garudayaksa are 14th and PSS Sleman 15th in Liga 1 Indonesia. In their last five league games, Garudayaksa won one and PSS Sleman one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Garudayaksa win or draw
- 70%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 76%
- PSS Sleman win or draw
- 54%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 81%
- 3+ goals
- 59%
- 4+ goals
- 37%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 61%
- No
- 39%
We expect about 1.7 goals from Garudayaksa and 1.3 from PSS Sleman. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%), 1–2 (7%), 2–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46% | 24% | 30% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1886 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Garudayaksa: last 6
LLWLDL · 6 scored, 13 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Persib Bandung | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Oct | at Bali United | 0–5 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Arema FC | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Persita | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | at Persebaya Surabaya | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Sep | vs Persik Kediri | 0–2 | L |
Last 3 at home: LWL
PSS Sleman: last 6
LLDWLL · 9 scored, 11 conceded
| 27 Oct | vs Pusamania Borneo | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | at Persik Kediri | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | at Persebaya Surabaya | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs PSM Makassar | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Dewa United | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Persepam Madura Utd | 1–3 | L |
Last 4 away: LDLL
Season stats
| Garudayaksa | PSS Sleman | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | Goals scored per game | 1.43 |
| 2.00 | Goals conceded per game | 1.86 |
| 1.33 | Scored per game at home | 1.67 |
| 0.75 | Scored per game away | 1.25 |
| 57% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 100% |
| 71% | Both teams scored | 86% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 14% |
| 29% | Failed to score | 0% |
League matches only, 7 games each.
Liga 1 Indonesia table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pusamania Borneo | 6 | -1 | 9 | WLWLW |
| 12 | PSM Makassar | 7 | -3 | 9 | DWWLD |
| 13 | Java United | 7 | +0 | 7 −2 | DDWWL |
| 14 | Garudayaksa | 7 | -7 | 5 | LLWLD |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 7 | -3 | 4 | LLDWL |
| 16 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 7 | -9 | 3 −2 | DDWLL |
| 17 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 7 | -8 | 2 | DLLLL |
| 18 | Persijap | 7 | -12 | 1 | DLLLL |
Match context
- Rest days
- Garudayaksa 7PSS Sleman 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: Garudayaksa 2 · PSS Sleman 2
- Goals in this league
- Liga 1 Indonesia average: 2.89 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
