Persik Kediri vs Persita prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Persik Kediri to win: 49%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 59% · bookies 59%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The three readings suggest a closely fought encounter where Persita's attacking potency meets Persik Kediri's defensive stability at home. Despite Persita's superior form and rest, the market remains tightly balanced between the two sides.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think a draw is underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersPersik Kediri's home defence is solid, but Persita's high-scoring nature presents a significant threat.
Persik Kediri averages 1.33 goals scored at home and concedes only 0.86 goals per game. Persita averages 2.00 goals per match but also concedes 1.50 goals per game.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressurePersita enters the match in superior form and with more recovery time than their opponents.
Persita sits 6th with 12 points from 6 games, while Persik Kediri is 9th with 10 points from 7 games. Persita has had 6 days rest compared to Persik Kediri's 4 days rest.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market appears balanced, though Persita's consistent scoring record warrants closer inspection.
Persita has scored in 100% of their matches, while Persik Kediri has only scored in 43% of their games. Persita's away form has seen them score 3 goals in 2 games.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Persik Kediri are favourites at 49%, with Persita on 26% and the draw on 25%. Persik Kediri are 9th and Persita 6th in Liga 1 Indonesia. In their last five league games, Persik Kediri won two and Persita three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Persik Kediri win or draw
- 74%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- Persita win or draw
- 51%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 81%
- 3+ goals
- 58%
- 4+ goals
- 36%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 59%
- No
- 41%
We expect about 1.8 goals from Persik Kediri and 1.3 from Persita. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%), 2–0 (8%), 1–2 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 49% | 25% | 26% | Stats preview | #1883 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Persik Kediri: last 6
LWLWDW · 8 scored, 5 conceded
| 26 Oct | at Persija | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | vs PSS Sleman | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | at Persib Bandung | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Persepam Madura Utd | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | at Arema FC | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Sep | at Garudayaksa | 2–0 | W |
Last 3 at home: WWL
Persita: last 6
DWWDWD · 12 scored, 9 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Bali United | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Persija | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Garudayaksa | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | at PSM Makassar | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Java United | 3–2 | W |
| 5 Sep | at PSIM Yogyakarta | 1–1 | D |
Last 2 away: DD
Season stats
| Persik Kediri | Persita | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.14 | Goals scored per game | 2.00 |
| 0.86 | Goals conceded per game | 1.50 |
| 1.33 | Scored per game at home | 2.25 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 1.50 |
| 29% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| 43% | Both teams scored | 100% |
| 29% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 29% | Failed to score | 0% |
League matches only, 7 and 6 games.
Liga 1 Indonesia table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bali United | 7 | +12 | 13 | DWLWL |
| 4 | Persib Bandung | 7 | +3 | 13 | WLWDW |
| 5 | Persepam Madura Utd | 7 | +2 | 13 | LWDLW |
| 6 | Persita | 6 | +3 | 12 | DWWDW |
| 7 | Persebaya Surabaya | 7 | +3 | 12 | WLDWD |
| 8 | Bhayangkara FC | 7 | +3 | 11 | DWDDW |
| 9 | Persik Kediri | 7 | +2 | 10 | LWLWD |
| 10 | Arema FC | 7 | +2 | 9 | WLLDD |
| 11 | Pusamania Borneo | 6 | -1 | 9 | WLWLW |
| 12 | PSM Makassar | 7 | -3 | 9 | DWWLD |
Match context
- Travel for Persita
- 621 km
- Rest days
- Persik Kediri 4Persita 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Persik Kediri 3 · Persita 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 29°C · wind 21 km/h
- Rain expected
- Goals in this league
- Liga 1 Indonesia average: 2.89 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
