Dewa United vs Persija prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Wide open: no clear favourite (Persija 38%)
Goals call3+ goals 55% · bookies 55%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The goals market looks right too, with over 2.5 nudged to 55-58% given both sides' 71% over rates and a 2.89 goals-per-match league environment.
What our AI analysts say
All three broadly agree with the bookmakers.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTwo attack-minded sides with strong scoring rates point to goals in Tangerang.
Dewa United score 2.00 per game at home; Persija average 2.33 away and have failed to score in none of their matches.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureFirst versus second with Persija unbeaten in the league run-in stakes makes this a genuine top-of-table contest.
Persija lead with 18 points from 7 (W6 D0 L1); Dewa United are second on 14, so the visitors can stretch the gap. Dewa's only recent league outing was a 0-4 defeat at Arema, though they are W W D at home. Rest is near-identical: 6 days versus 5.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongPersija's 38% away edge is backed by 2.43 goals per game and 0.86 conceded, but their last three away games read L W W with 7 scored and 3 conceded, so 38% is not generous.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Persija are slight favourites at 38%, with Dewa United on 35% and the draw on 27%. Dewa United are 2nd and Persija 1st in Liga 1 Indonesia. In their last five league games, Dewa United won three and Persija four.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Dewa United win or draw
- 62%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Persija win or draw
- 65%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 78%
- 3+ goals
- 55%
- 4+ goals
- 32%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 58%
- No
- 42%
We expect about 1.4 goals from Dewa United and 1.5 from Persija. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%), 2–1 (8%), 1–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35% | 27% | 38% | Stats preview | #1882 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Dewa United: last 6
LWDWWD · 11 scored, 10 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Arema FC | 0–4 | L |
| 20 Oct | vs Persijap | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Persib Bandung | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs PSS Sleman | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Sep | at Pusamania Borneo | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Bhayangkara FC | 2–2 | D |
Last 3 at home: WWD
Persija: last 6
WWLWWW · 16 scored, 6 conceded
| 26 Oct | vs Persik Kediri | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | vs Arema FC | 5–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | at Persita | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | at PSIM Yogyakarta | 4–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Java United | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Persib Bandung | 2–1 | W |
Last 3 away: LWW
Season stats
| Dewa United | Persija | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.71 | Goals scored per game | 2.43 |
| 1.43 | Goals conceded per game | 0.86 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game at home | 2.50 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game away | 2.33 |
| 71% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 71% |
| 57% | Both teams scored | 57% |
| 29% | Clean sheets | 43% |
| 14% | Failed to score | 0% |
League matches only, 7 games each.
Liga 1 Indonesia table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija | 7 | +11 | 18 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Dewa United | 7 | +2 | 14 | LWDWW |
| 3 | Bali United | 7 | +12 | 13 | DWLWL |
| 4 | Persib Bandung | 7 | +3 | 13 | WLWDW |
| 5 | Persepam Madura Utd | 7 | +2 | 13 | LWDLW |
Match context
- Travel for Persija
- 24 km
- Rest days
- Dewa United 6Persija 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: Dewa United 2 · Persija 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 26°C · wind 2 km/h
- Rain expected
- Goals in this league
- Liga 1 Indonesia average: 2.89 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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