Willem II vs SC Cambuur prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Wide open: no clear favourite (Willem II 38%)
Goals call3+ goals 63% · bookies 63% · ✓ 7 goals
The Verdict
The combined analysis points strongly towards SC Cambuur securing the win, supported by their superior league position and attacking metrics. While the draw probability is slightly high, the defensive fragility of Willem II suggests a high-scoring encounter is likely.
What our AI analysts say
All three think SC Cambuur's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersSC Cambuur's attacking output is expected to be the deciding factor in this fixture.
SC Cambuur averages 1.44 goals per game, while Willem II concedes 2.89 per game. SC has scored 5 goals in its last 4 away fixtures.
Cambuur: strongly underrated
More goalsHigh The Dressing Room
the table and pressureSC Cambuur enters this match with a significantly stronger league position and recent form.
SC Cambuur sits 14th with 9 points from 9 games, compared to Willem II at 18th with only 2 points. Both teams have 6 days of rest.
Cambuur: strongly underrated
More goalsHigh The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market accurately reflects SC Cambuur's superior standing, but the draw probability might be slightly inflated.
SC Cambuur has won 3 of the last 6 head-to-head meetings. Willem II's recent form shows 5 losses in its last 6 matches.
Cambuur: strongly underrated
More goalsHigh Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Willem II are slight favourites at 38%, with SC Cambuur on 37% and the draw on 25%. Willem II are 18th and SC Cambuur 14th in the Eredivisie. In their last five league games, Willem II won none and SC Cambuur two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Willem II win or draw
- 63%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- SC Cambuur win or draw
- 63%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 83%
- 3+ goals
- 62%
- 4+ goals
- 40%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 64%
- No
- 36%
We expect about 1.6 goals from Willem II and 1.6 from SC Cambuur. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%), 2–2 (7%), 1–0 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25% | 19% | 56% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #736 | |
| 2 | 37% | 25% | 37% | Prices moved | #737 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Willem II: last 6
LLLLDL · 5 scored, 16 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Sparta Rotterdam | 2–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | at Utrecht | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Fortuna Sittard | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Sep | at Ajax | 1–5 | L |
| 11 Sep | at AZ Alkmaar | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Excelsior | 0–3 | L |
Last 4 at home: LLDL
SC Cambuur: last 6
DWDWDL · 10 scored, 9 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs AZ Alkmaar | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Oct | at PEC Zwolle | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | at ADO Den Haag | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs NEC Nijmegen | 3–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | at Telstar | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs Twente | 1–4 | L |
Last 4 away: WDDL
Season stats
| Willem II | SC Cambuur | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | Goals scored per game | 1.44 |
| 2.89 | Goals conceded per game | 2.33 |
| 0.75 | Scored per game at home | 1.60 |
| 1.20 | Scored per game away | 1.25 |
| 78% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 78% |
| 78% | Both teams scored | 67% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 22% |
| 22% | Failed to score | 11% |
League matches only, 9 games each.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heerenveen | 10 | +5 | 15 | WWLWD |
| 8 | Groningen | 10 | +3 | 15 | DLWWD |
| 9 | GO Ahead Eagles | 10 | +0 | 14 | WLDDD |
| 10 | SC Cambuur | 10 | -3 | 12 | WDWDW |
| 11 | Utrecht | 10 | -10 | 12 | DWWLW |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 10 | -1 | 11 | DDDDL |
| 13 | Excelsior | 10 | -3 | 11 | LLLDL |
| … | |||||
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | -12 | 8 | DWLLL |
| 16 | Telstar | 10 | -9 | 6 | LLDLD |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 10 | -10 | 6 | LWDDL |
| 18 | Willem II | 10 | -22 | 2 | LLLLL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Willem II won 0, SC Cambuur 3, 3 draws; 2.3 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2025 | Willem II | 0–1 | SC Cambuur | Eerste Divisie |
| 6 Sep 2025 | SC Cambuur | 2–2 | Willem II | Eerste Divisie |
| 2 Feb 2024 | Willem II | 1–1 | SC Cambuur | Eerste Divisie |
| 17 Sep 2023 | SC Cambuur | 1–0 | Willem II | Eerste Divisie |
| 11 May 2022 | SC Cambuur | 1–1 | Willem II | Eredivisie |
| 10 Dec 2021 | Willem II | 1–3 | SC Cambuur | Eredivisie |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutJ. HoogmaKnee
- OutA. LachkarGroin
- OutW. van der SteenNot available
- Susp.D. BouahSuspended
- OutJ. AmofaInjury
- OutW. AsselmanInjury
Show 1 more
- OutD. VisserKnee
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Match context
- Rest days
- Willem II 6SC Cambuur 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Willem II 2 · SC Cambuur 2
- Referee
- Dennis Higler
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
