PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
PSV Eindhoven to win: 47%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 75% · bookies 75% · ✗ 2 goals
The Verdict
All three readings agree this is a high-scoring fixture: over 2.5 goals sits at 81% and both teams score 78%. The split is on the winner - the model and table favour unbeaten leaders Feyenoord around 48%, while the head-to-head record keeps PSV's 32% live. A competitive, goal-filled game is the consensus.
What our AI analysts say
All three think Feyenoord's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTwo high-scoring sides point to goals, but Feyenoord's away firepower edges it.
Both teams score 78% of the time and 3+ goals land 81%, so an open game looks likely.
Feyenoord: strongly underrated
More goalsHigh The Dressing Room
the table and pressureFeyenoord's unbeaten lead meets PSV's wobble with both sides stretched.
Feyenoord top the table on 23 points from 9, unbeaten, while third-placed PSV trail on 19 after two defeats in their last three league games. Both have played three games in 14 days, PSV with one extra rest day, and both carry long absentees.
Feyenoord: strongly underrated
More goalsHigh The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe numbers lean Feyenoord, but PSV's head-to-head grip argues the gap is overstated.
The model gives Feyenoord 48% despite PSV winning five of the last six meetings, including 3-0 in 2026, at 4.3 goals per game. Feyenoord's away form is L W W L W with 10 conceded in five, so 48% looks slightly high; I shade PSV up.
Feyenoord: strongly underrated
More goalsHigh Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
PSV Eindhoven are favourites at 47%, with Feyenoord on 30% and the draw on 23%. PSV Eindhoven are 3rd and Feyenoord 1st in the Eredivisie. In their last five league games, PSV Eindhoven won three and Feyenoord five.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- PSV Eindhoven win or draw
- 70%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 77%
- Feyenoord win or draw
- 53%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 90%
- 3+ goals
- 75%
- 4+ goals
- 55%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 73%
- No
- 27%
We expect about 2.2 goals from PSV Eindhoven and 1.7 from Feyenoord. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–1 (8%). Even the likeliest exact score happens less than 1 time in 10. Next: 1–1 (8%), 2–2 (7%), 1–2 (7%), 3–1 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32% | 19% | 48% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1049 | |
| 2 | 47% | 23% | 30% | Prices moved | #1342 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
PSV Eindhoven: last 6
WLLWLW · 10 scored, 7 conceded
| 20 Oct | at FC Porto UEFA Champions League | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | at ADO Den Haag | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Oct | at RB Leipzig UEFA Champions League | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Heerenveen | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Twente | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Sparta Rotterdam | 4–1 | W |
Last 5 at home: WWDWD
Feyenoord: last 6
LWWWWW · 21 scored, 6 conceded
| 21 Oct | at Real Betis UEFA Champions League | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | at Telstar | 4–3 | W |
| 14 Oct | vs Como UEFA Champions League | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs AZ Alkmaar | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Utrecht | 5–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | at PEC Zwolle | 7–0 | W |
Last 5 away: LWWLW
Season stats
| PSV Eindhoven | Feyenoord | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.00 | Goals scored per game | 3.44 |
| 1.33 | Goals conceded per game | 1.11 |
| 3.25 | Scored per game at home | 2.75 |
| 2.80 | Scored per game away | 4.00 |
| 89% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 78% |
| 89% | Both teams scored | 56% |
| 11% | Clean sheets | 44% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 0% |
League matches only, 9 games each.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 10 | +21 | 24 | DWWWW |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 10 | +15 | 20 | DLWLW |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 9 | +10 | 20 | DLWDW |
| 4 | Ajax | 9 | +15 | 18 | WDDWW |
| 5 | Fortuna Sittard | 10 | +0 | 18 | WDDWL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: PSV Eindhoven won 5, Feyenoord 0, 1 draw; 4.3 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | PSV Eindhoven | 3–0 | Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Feyenoord | 2–3 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| 11 May 2025 | Feyenoord | 2–3 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| 5 Feb 2025 | PSV Eindhoven | 2–0 | Feyenoord | KNVB Beker |
| 22 Dec 2024 | PSV Eindhoven | 3–0 | Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| 4 Aug 2024 | PSV Eindhoven | 4–4 | Feyenoord | Super Cup |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- Susp.S. MijnansSuspended
- OutA. NagaloInjury
- OutA. PleaSurgery
Show 7 more
- OutJ. SchoutenKnee
- OutK. SildilliaSurgery
- DoubtS. LammersLacking Match Fitness
- DoubtS. OuaissaMuscle
- DoubtR. PepiInjury
- DoubtP. WannerFoot
- DoubtR. van BommelNot available
- OutT. BeelenBroken Leg
- OutJ. BosKnee
- DoubtJ. ModerKnee
Show 4 more
- DoubtR. NelsonMuscle
- DoubtB. NieuwkoopKnee
- DoubtG. SmalAnkle
- DoubtS. van PersieKnock
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Match context
- Rest days
- PSV Eindhoven 4Feyenoord 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: PSV Eindhoven 3 · Feyenoord 3
- Referee
- Serdar Gozubuyuk
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
