Telstar vs FC Utrecht prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Utrecht to win: 42%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 63% · bookies 63%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
In short
FC Utrecht are slight favourites at 42%, with Telstar on 33% and the draw on 25%. Telstar are 16th and FC Utrecht 11th in the Eredivisie. In their last five league games, Telstar won none and FC Utrecht three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Telstar win or draw
- 58%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- FC Utrecht win or draw
- 67%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 83%
- 3+ goals
- 63%
- 4+ goals
- 41%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 64%
- No
- 36%
We expect about 1.5 goals from Telstar and 1.7 from FC Utrecht. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%), 0–1 (7%), 2–2 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35% | 21% | 44% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1759 | |
| 2 | 33% | 25% | 42% | Prices moved | #2175 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Telstar: last 6
LLDLDL · 7 scored, 11 conceded
| 23 Oct | at GO Ahead Eagles | 2–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Feyenoord | 3–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs ADO Den Haag | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | at AZ Alkmaar | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | at Heerenveen | 0–0 | D |
| 9 Sep | at Twente | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 at home: LDDLL
FC Utrecht: last 6
DWWLWD · 11 scored, 12 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs PEC Zwolle | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | at Twente | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Willem II | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Feyenoord | 0–5 | L |
| 13 Sep | at Excelsior | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Sep | vs GO Ahead Eagles | 3–3 | D |
Last 5 away: WLWDL
Season stats
| Telstar | FC Utrecht | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.20 | Goals scored per game | 1.70 |
| 2.10 | Goals conceded per game | 2.70 |
| 1.60 | Scored per game at home | 1.80 |
| 0.80 | Scored per game away | 1.60 |
| 70% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 90% |
| 60% | Both teams scored | 90% |
| 10% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 40% | Failed to score | 10% |
League matches only, 10 games each.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Groningen | 10 | +3 | 15 | DLWWD |
| 9 | GO Ahead Eagles | 10 | +0 | 14 | WLDDD |
| 10 | Cambuur | 10 | -3 | 12 | WDWDW |
| 11 | FC Utrecht | 10 | -10 | 12 | DWWLW |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 10 | -1 | 11 | DDDDL |
| 13 | Excelsior | 10 | -3 | 11 | LLLDL |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | -7 | 9 | LWDLL |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | -12 | 8 | DWLLL |
| 16 | Telstar | 10 | -9 | 6 | LLDLD |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 10 | -10 | 6 | LWDDL |
| 18 | Willem II | 10 | -22 | 2 | LLLLL |
Match context
- Rest days
- Telstar 8FC Utrecht 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Telstar 1 · FC Utrecht 2
- Goals in this league
- Eredivisie average: 3.80 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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