SC Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
GO Ahead Eagles to win: 44%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 67% · bookies 67%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The sceptic's doubt about the away lean is tempered by Cambuur's own shaky home record, so the market picture broadly holds.
What our AI analysts say
All three broadly agree with the bookmakers.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTwo leaky defences point to goals in Leeuwarden
Cambuur concede 2.20 per game, GO Ahead 2.30, and neither keeps many clean sheets - 20% versus 0%. Expect chances at both ends.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureMid-table neighbours, little to separate them
Ninth versus tenth, 14 points against 12 after ten games - these sides are separated by two points and one place. Cambuur's unbeaten six-match run (W3 D3) brings confidence, while GO Ahead have drawn five of their last six. Both had 7-8 days' rest, so fatigue is no excuse for either.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongCambuur's home form argues the away lean is too strong
The 44% away number sits awkwardly with GO Ahead's away record: L D D L D, nine scored and fifteen conceded in five. Cambuur's home form (D W L L L, 15 conceded) is also poor, so the 32% home price is defensible.
GO Ahead Eagles: slightly overrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
GO Ahead Eagles are slight favourites at 44%, with SC Cambuur on 32% and the draw on 24%. SC Cambuur are 10th and GO Ahead Eagles 9th in the Eredivisie. In their last five league games, SC Cambuur won three and GO Ahead Eagles one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- SC Cambuur win or draw
- 56%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 76%
- GO Ahead Eagles win or draw
- 68%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 86%
- 3+ goals
- 67%
- 4+ goals
- 45%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 67%
- No
- 33%
We expect about 1.6 goals from SC Cambuur and 1.9 from GO Ahead Eagles. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (9%). Even the likeliest exact score happens less than 1 time in 10. Next: 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (7%), 2–2 (7%), 0–1 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32% | 19% | 49% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #2055 | |
| 2 | 32% | 24% | 44% | Prices moved | #2163 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
SC Cambuur: last 6
WDWDWD · 15 scored, 6 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Willem II | 6–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs AZ Alkmaar | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Oct | at PEC Zwolle | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | at ADO Den Haag | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs NEC Nijmegen | 3–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | at Telstar | 2–2 | D |
Last 5 at home: DWLLL
GO Ahead Eagles: last 6
WLDDDD · 12 scored, 14 conceded
| 23 Oct | vs Telstar | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | at PEC Zwolle | 1–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Sparta Rotterdam | 3–3 | D |
| 20 Sep | at NEC Nijmegen | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Groningen | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Sep | at Utrecht | 3–3 | D |
Last 5 away: LDDLD
Season stats
| SC Cambuur | GO Ahead Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.90 | Goals scored per game | 2.30 |
| 2.20 | Goals conceded per game | 2.30 |
| 1.60 | Scored per game at home | 2.80 |
| 2.20 | Scored per game away | 1.80 |
| 80% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 80% |
| 70% | Both teams scored | 100% |
| 20% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 10% | Failed to score | 0% |
League matches only, 10 games each.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 10 | +0 | 18 | WDDWL |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 10 | +5 | 15 | WWLWD |
| 8 | Groningen | 10 | +3 | 15 | DLWWD |
| 9 | GO Ahead Eagles | 10 | +0 | 14 | WLDDD |
| 10 | SC Cambuur | 10 | -3 | 12 | WDWDW |
| 11 | Utrecht | 10 | -10 | 12 | DWWLW |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 10 | -1 | 11 | DDDDL |
| 13 | Excelsior | 10 | -3 | 11 | LLLDL |
Match context
- Travel for GO Ahead Eagles
- 108 km
- Rest days
- SC Cambuur 7GO Ahead Eagles 8
- Matches in the last 14 days: SC Cambuur 2 · GO Ahead Eagles 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 9°C · wind 5 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Eredivisie average: 3.80 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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