PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
PEC Zwolle to win: 44%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 60% · bookies 60%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
In short
PEC Zwolle are slight favourites at 44%, with ADO Den Haag on 31% and the draw on 25%. PEC Zwolle are 15th and ADO Den Haag 17th in the Eredivisie. In their last five league games, PEC Zwolle won one and ADO Den Haag one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- PEC Zwolle win or draw
- 69%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- ADO Den Haag win or draw
- 56%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 81%
- 3+ goals
- 59%
- 4+ goals
- 37%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 61%
- No
- 39%
We expect about 1.7 goals from PEC Zwolle and 1.4 from ADO Den Haag. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%), 1–2 (8%), 2–0 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30% | 22% | 48% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1946 | |
| 2 | 44% | 25% | 31% | Prices moved | #2143 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
PEC Zwolle: last 6
DWLLLD · 7 scored, 15 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Utrecht | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs GO Ahead Eagles | 4–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Cambuur | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Sep | at Groningen | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Feyenoord | 0–7 | L |
| 4 Sep | at Sparta Rotterdam | 2–2 | D |
Last 5 at home: WLLLL
ADO Den Haag: last 6
LWDDLL · 9 scored, 12 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Heerenveen | 2–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs PSV Eindhoven | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Telstar | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Cambuur | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | at Twente | 0–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Fortuna Sittard | 2–3 | L |
Last 5 away: DLDLL
Season stats
| PEC Zwolle | ADO Den Haag | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.10 | Goals scored per game | 1.30 |
| 2.30 | Goals conceded per game | 2.30 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.60 |
| 1.20 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 60% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 70% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 80% |
| 10% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 40% | Failed to score | 20% |
League matches only, 10 games each.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 10 | -1 | 11 | DDDDL |
| 13 | Excelsior | 10 | -3 | 11 | LLLDL |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | -7 | 9 | LWDLL |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | -12 | 8 | DWLLL |
| 16 | Telstar | 10 | -9 | 6 | LLDLD |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 10 | -10 | 6 | LWDDL |
| 18 | Willem II | 10 | -22 | 2 | LLLLL |
Match context
- Rest days
- PEC Zwolle 7ADO Den Haag 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: PEC Zwolle 1 · ADO Den Haag 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 10°C · wind 5 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Eredivisie average: 3.80 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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