FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin prediction
Full analysisTeam news, injuries and lineups read by our AI scouts, updated when the official lineups are out. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast
Who wins?
Augsburg to win: 52%, about 1 in 2
The Verdict
Our numbers stay close to the bookmakers', with a small shift of a few points from the home win towards the draw. The Sceptic's view was followed, as its draw shift better reflects Union's recent four-point haul and the competitive nature of the fixture, while The Coach and The Dressing Room backed the market's home lean.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think a draw is underrated.
The Coach
tactics and lineupsFC Augsburg's home advantage and historical success at WWK Arena give them the edge.
FC Augsburg is missing Noahkai Banks and Steve Mounié, while Union Berlin is dealing with injuries to Andrej Ilic and Andrik Markgraf. Augsburg has been unbeaten at home this campaign, and they have won five of nine clashes against Union Berlin at WWK Arena. Union is coming off three consecutive matches conceding goals.
The Dressing Room
mood and pressureFC Augsburg's strong home record and league scoring trends point towards a high-scoring win.
FC Augsburg is unbeaten at home this campaign. Union Berlin has been conceding goals in three consecutive matches. The match takes place in a league environment that averages 3.71 goals per match this season [MATCH CONDITIONS].
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThis match is likely to be high-scoring and competitive, with goals expected from both sides.
FC Augsburg is unbeaten at home this campaign, but recently lost 4-3 to SV 07 Elversberg. Union Berlin is coming off three consecutive matches conceding goals.
AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips. Who reads the game best
In short
Both squads carry several absences. Our numbers stay close to the market, with a slightly higher draw probability.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- FC Augsburg win or draw
- 77%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- 1. FC Union Berlin win or draw
- 48%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 72%
- 3+ goals
- 47%
- 4+ goals
- 25%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 49%
- No
- 51%
We expect about 1.6 goals from FC Augsburg and 1.0 from 1. FC Union Berlin. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 0–0 (8%).
How we got to these numbers
| Home | Draw | Away | 3+ goals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bookmakers | 56% | 22% | 22% | 66% |
| AI analysts | 44% | 27% | 29% | 68% |
| Our forecast | 52% | 25% | 23% | – |
Verdict: Our numbers stay close to the market but shift a few points from the home win to the draw, reflecting Union's recent improvement and the volatile recent form of both sides.
Our forecast starts from the bookmakers' prices and moves only by what the news justifies, capped at 8 percentage points per outcome. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 52% | 23% | 24% | Stats preview | #699 | |
| 2 | 50% | 25% | 24% | Full analysis | #872 | |
| 3 | 52% | 25% | 23% | Updated news and prices | #1024 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 3 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
FC Augsburg: last 6
LDLDWW · 16 scored, 12 conceded
| 17 Oct | at SV Elversberg | 3–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Bayern München | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | at Werder Bremen | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2–2 | D |
| 6 Sep | at Eintracht Frankfurt | 4–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | vs FC Schalke 04 | 3–0 | W |
Last 3 at home: DDW
1. FC Union Berlin: last 6
DWLLLD · 5 scored, 17 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs SV Elversberg | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | at Bayern München | 0–7 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs FC Schalke 04 | 1–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | at Bayer Leverkusen | 0–4 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 3–3 | D |
Last 3 away: LLW
Season stats
| FC Augsburg | 1. FC Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.67 | Goals scored per game | 0.83 |
| 2.00 | Goals conceded per game | 2.83 |
| 2.33 | Scored per game at home | 1.25 |
| 3.00 | Scored per game away | 0.00 |
| 100% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| 83% | Both teams scored | 33% |
| 17% | Clean sheets | 33% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 50% |
League matches only, 6 games each.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 7 | +1 | 12 | WDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 | 7 | +3 | 10 | LWLWL |
| 8 | SV Elversberg | 7 | -3 | 10 | LWLDL |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 7 | +4 | 9 | DLDLD |
| 10 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 7 | +0 | 9 | WWLLW |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 7 | -10 | 9 | LWWWL |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 7 | -3 | 8 | DLWLD |
| … | |||||
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | -7 | 8 | LWLDW |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 7 | -3 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 16 | FC Schalke 04 | 7 | -3 | 6 | DLLDW |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 7 | -12 | 6 | DDWLL |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | -11 | 3 | WLLLL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: FC Augsburg won 2, 1. FC Union Berlin 2, 2 draws; 2.5 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4–0 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| 15 Jan 2026 | FC Augsburg | 1–1 | 1. FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 17 May 2025 | FC Augsburg | 1–2 | 1. FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 15 Jan 2025 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 0–2 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| 12 Apr 2024 | FC Augsburg | 2–0 | 1. FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 25 Nov 2023 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–1 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
Team news: lineups Confirmed
Goalkeeper
- 1F. Dahmen
Defenders
- 35Abdulay Bah
- 5C. Matsima
- 2C. Brackelmann
Midfielders
- 27M. Wolf
- 4H. Massengo
- 32F. Rieder
- 16Hennes Behrens
- 30A. Kade
- 21A. Ibrahimović
Forward
- 11M. Gregoritsch
Substitutes (9)
- 7Seol Young-Woo
- 37T. Schnitzer
- 9Rodrigo Ribeiro
- 39U. Ogundu
- 22N. Labrović
- 10M. Kömür
- 14Y. Keitel
- 6J. Gouweleeuw
- 19R. Fellhauer
Goalkeeper
- 1F. Rønnow
Defenders
- 19J. Haberer
- 4Z. Van Den Bosch
- 2F. Uduokhai
- 15T. Rothe
Midfielders
- 13A. Schäfer
- 8R. Khedira
- 11Jeong Woo-Yeong
- 20M. Aebischer
- 9Livan Burcu
Forward
- 21T. Skarke
Substitutes (9)
- 28C. Trimmel
- 31M. Raab
- 14L. Querfeld
- 27M. LjubiÄiÄ
- 29E. Latte Lath
- 17D. Köhn
- 6A. Kemlein
- 32M. Gray
- 7O. Burke
Official team sheets, updated UK time (GMT).
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutN. BanksKnee
- OutA. Claude-MauriceMuscle
- OutS. MounieInjury
- OutA. IlicIllness
- OutK. ImeriInjury
- OutJ. JuranovicAchilles Tendon
Show 2 more
- OutA. MarkgrafKnee
- OutS. NsokiMuscle
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Key facts
- Augsburg are 10th with 8 points from 6 games and are unbeaten at home this season (W1 D2 L0).[1][2][3][4]
- Union Berlin are 17th with 5 points and have lost both away league matches this season.[1][2][3][4]
- Augsburg lost 4-3 at SV Elversberg in their most recent match on 17 October.[1][2][3][4]
- Union Berlin drew 0-0 with Borussia Dortmund last time out and have taken four points from their last two league games.[1][2][3][4]
- Augsburg have won five of nine previous league meetings with Union at the WWK Arena.[1][2][3][4]
- Union have conceded in three consecutive matches, per the preview coverage.[1][2]
- A defeat could drop Union Berlin into the relegation zone.[3][4]
Sources
- sports.yahoo.com – PREVIEW | FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin: team news, lineups ...
- onefootball.com – PREVIEW | FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin: team news, lineups ...
- footballtips365.co.uk – Augsburg vs Union Berlin – News and Probable Lineups
- sportsmole.co.uk – Preview: Augsburg vs Union Berlin - prediction, team news, lineups
Match context
- Rest days
- FC Augsburg 71. FC Union Berlin 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: FC Augsburg 1 · 1. FC Union Berlin 1
- Referee
- Robin Braun
- Goals in this league
- Bundesliga average: 3.71 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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