Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction
Full analysisTeam news, injuries and lineups read by our AI scouts, updated when the official lineups are out. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast
Who wins?
Borussia Dortmund to win: 65%, about 2 in 3
Goals call3+ goals 70% · bookies 71% · ✗ 1 goals
The Verdict
Our numbers stay close to the bookmakers', with only minor adjustments around the edges. The Dressing Room's view was not followed: it argued for trimming Dortmund by 3 points because of fixture congestion and fan pressure, but the concrete evidence of Dortmund's unbeaten league start and home dominance in this fixture outweighs those softer factors.
What our AI analysts say
All three broadly agree with the bookmakers.
The Coach
tactics and lineupsDortmund's settled spine overcomes Frankfurt's makeshift midfield at home.
Dortmund are without Can, Konstantelias, Karetsas and Lerma, yet the predicted XI keeps Kobel, Schlotterbeck, Bellingham and Guirassy (all reported out, not confirmed by the club) intact. Frankfurt miss Ngankam and Pimpong, with Hojlund doubtful and Onyedika (reported out, not confirmed by the club) one yellow from suspension, leaving Aseko and Chaibi (reported out, not confirmed by the club) likely to anchor midfield.
The Dressing Room
mood and pressureFrankfurt sit 11th, fresh from a 6-0 loss at Leipzig, and lost their sporting director on Sunday.
Borussia Dortmund: slightly overrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongDortmund's long home grip on Frankfurt is slightly bigger than the market admits
Dortmund have won 9 of the last 10 home meetings with Frankfurt, who last won at Signal Iduna Park in April 2021. The most recent H2H here finished 3-2 Dortmund. Dortmund have 10 scored, 4 conceded across four home games this season, and the league averages 3.71 goals per match.
AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips. Who reads the game best
In short
Second-placed Borussia Dortmund host an Eintracht Frankfurt side sitting 11th with eight points. Dortmund are unbeaten in the league but have drawn their last two, while Frankfurt arrive after a first clean sheet of the season against Köln. Both squads carry several absences, and Frankfurt also face off-field upheaval.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Borussia Dortmund win or draw
- 84%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 81%
- Eintracht Frankfurt win or draw
- 35%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 87%
- 3+ goals
- 70%
- 4+ goals
- 49%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 63%
- No
- 37%
We expect about 2.4 goals from Borussia Dortmund and 1.2 from Eintracht Frankfurt. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–1 (9%). Even the likeliest exact score happens less than 1 time in 10. Next: 2–0 (8%), 1–1 (8%), 3–1 (8%), 1–0 (7%).
How we got to these numbers
| Home | Draw | Away | 3+ goals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bookmakers | 65% | 18% | 16% | 71% |
| Goals model | 69% | 18% | 13% | 69% |
| AI analysts | 67% | 19% | 15% | 68% |
| Our forecast | 65% | 19% | 16% | 70% |
Verdict: Our numbers stay close to the market because Dortmund's home strength and the head-to-head record are partly offset by their blunt attack and Frankfurt's capacity to grind out results away from home.
Our forecast starts from the bookmakers' prices and moves only by what the news justifies, capped at 8 percentage points per outcome. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 66% | 18% | 16% | Stats preview | #732 | |
| 2 | 65% | 19% | 16% | Full analysis | #957 | |
| 3 | 65% | 19% | 16% | Updated news and prices | #1141 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 3 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Borussia Dortmund: last 6
WDLDWW · 8 scored, 4 conceded
| 20 Oct | at Sabah FA UEFA Champions League | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | at Union Berlin | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Oct | at Bodo/Glimt UEFA Champions League | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Werder Bremen | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | at VfB Stuttgart | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs SC Paderborn 07 | 3–0 | W |
Last 4 at home: DWWW
Eintracht Frankfurt: last 6
WLDWLD · 10 scored, 16 conceded
| 16 Oct | vs 1. FC Köln | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at RB Leipzig | 0–6 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs SC Freiburg | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | at FSV Mainz 05 | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs FC Augsburg | 1–4 | L |
| 29 Aug | at Union Berlin | 3–3 | D |
Last 4 away: LWDW
Season stats
| Borussia Dortmund | Eintracht Frankfurt | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.83 | Goals scored per game | 1.67 |
| 0.67 | Goals conceded per game | 2.67 |
| 2.33 | Scored per game at home | 1.33 |
| 1.33 | Scored per game away | 2.00 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| 33% | Both teams scored | 67% |
| 67% | Clean sheets | 17% |
| 17% | Failed to score | 17% |
League matches only, 6 games each.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 7 | +8 | 17 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Bayern München | 6 | +17 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 6 | +9 | 13 | LWDWW |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | +4 | 13 | LWWWD |
| … | |||||
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 7 | -10 | 9 | LWWWL |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 7 | -3 | 8 | DLWLD |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | -3 | 8 | WDLWL |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | -7 | 8 | LWLDW |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 7 | -3 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 16 | FC Schalke 04 | 7 | -3 | 6 | DLLDW |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | -12 | 6 | DDWLL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Borussia Dortmund won 3, Eintracht Frankfurt 1, 2 draws; 3.5 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 May 2026 | Borussia Dortmund | 3–2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
| 9 Jan 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3–3 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| 28 Oct 2025 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1–1 | Borussia Dortmund | DFB Pokal |
| 17 Jan 2025 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2–0 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Borussia Dortmund | 2–0 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
| 17 Mar 2024 | Borussia Dortmund | 3–1 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
Team news: lineups Confirmed
Goalkeeper
- 1G. Kobel
Defenders
- 3W. Anton
- 4N. Schlotterbeck
- 5R. Bensebaïni
Midfielders
- 26J. Ryerson
- 25J. Veerman
- 8F. Nmecha
- 24D. Svensson
- 20M. Sabitzer
- 21Fábio Silva
Forward
- 9S. Guirassy
Substitutes (9)
- 18E. Nwaneri
- 33A. Meyer
- 39F. Mané
- 40S. Inacio
- 22Kouakou Joane Gadou
- 44E. de Pina Duarte dos Santos
- 17C. Chukwuemeka
- 7J. Bellingham
- 14M. Beier
Goalkeeper
- 1N. Atubolu
Defenders
- 34N. Collins
- 4R. Koch
- 3L. Brassier
- 2Elias Baum
Midfielders
- 20R. Dōan
- 15N. Aséko Nkili
- 25R. Onyedika
- 8F. Chaïbi
Forwards
- 11Y. Ebnoutalib
- 9J. Burkardt
Substitutes (9)
- 42C. Uzun
- 37J. Maluze
- 26K. Kosugi
- 7A. Knauff
- 40Kauã Santos
- 6O. Højlund
- 27M. Götze
- 31L. Arrhov
- 29A. Amaimouni
Official team sheets, updated UK time (GMT).
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutE. CanKnee
- OutK. KaretsasAnkle
- OutG. KonstanteliasKnee
Show 2 more
- OutJ. LermaMuscle
- OutK. PratesMuscle
- OutJ. NgankamHamstring
- OutM. PimpongMuscle
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Key facts
- Dortmund are second in the Bundesliga with 14 points from six games and are one of two unbeaten teams.[1][3]
- Dortmund have drawn their last two league games, including a goalless draw at Union Berlin.[1][4]
- Dortmund have scored only 11 league goals in six games, and the coaching staff want more ruthlessness up front.[3][5]
- Frankfurt are 11th with eight points from six games, two points off fifth place.[1]
- Frankfurt kept their first clean sheet of the season in a 1-0 win over Köln, but were beaten 6-0 at RB Leipzig the previous week.[1][3]
- Frankfurt coach Hütter has alternated between a back four and a back three, with defensive instability a concern.[5]
- Dortmund have won nine of their last ten home games against Frankfurt.[5]
- Dortmund won a Champions League match at Sabah FA in midweek, with Guirassy scoring twice.[1][4]
Sources
- sportsmole.co.uk – Preview: Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Sports Mole
- thefalse9.com – Gadou Starts: Dortmund Predicted Lineup vs Frankfurt - The False 9
- sports.yahoo.com – Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt – Predicted lineup and ...
- bulinews.com – Borussia Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt preview: Team news ...
- thefootballfaithful.com – Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt – Predicted lineup and team news - The Football Faithful (2026-10-24)
Match context
- Rest days
- Borussia Dortmund 3Eintracht Frankfurt 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Borussia Dortmund 3 · Eintracht Frankfurt 1
- Referee
- Sven Jablonski
- Goals in this league
- Bundesliga average: 3.60 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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