Talleres (Córdoba) vs Defensa y Justicia prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Talleres (Córdoba) to win: 42%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 57% · bookies 57% · ✗ 3 goals
The Verdict
The table gap favours Defensa, the recent form favours Talleres, and the head-to-head scoring suggests a tight, moderate-scoring match.
What our AI analysts say
All three broadly agree with the bookmakers.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTalleres average 0.93 at home and 1.13 conceded per game; Defensa score 1.29 away and concede 1.14. Defensa keep 31% clean sheets but fail to score 28% of the time, so expect few chances at both ends. Talleres lost 1-2 at Boca most recently and their home last five produced only eight goals.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureDefensa sit higher and safer, but Talleres' three-game unbeaten home run keeps this tight.
Defensa are 6th on 43 points from 29 games; Talleres 11th on 35 from 30. Both had seven days' rest, with Talleres playing two games in 14 days to Defensa's one.
Talleres (Córdoba): slightly overrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongHome edge looks fair, but the 43% over price seems generous for these offences.
Talleres score 0.97 per game and fail to score 40% of the time, which argues under the 43% over 2.5 line. The 42% home price sits fine against their form and the six previous meetings, which split 2-2-2. Both-teams-score at 48% looks reasonable; the goals line looks the softest number.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Talleres (Córdoba) are slight favourites at 42%, with Defensa y Justicia on 29% and the draw on 29%. Talleres (Córdoba) are 11th and Defensa y Justicia 6th in Liga Profesional. In their last five league games, Talleres (Córdoba) won one and Defensa y Justicia three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Talleres (Córdoba) win or draw
- 71%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 71%
- Defensa y Justicia win or draw
- 58%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 69%
- 3+ goals
- 43%
- 4+ goals
- 22%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 48%
- No
- 52%
We expect about 1.3 goals from Talleres (Córdoba) and 1.1 from Defensa y Justicia. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 0–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42% | 29% | 29% | Stats preview | #802 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Talleres (Córdoba): last 6
LDLLWL · 4 scored, 8 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Boca Juniors | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Oct | vs Independiente | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Belgrano Cordoba | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | at Instituto Cordoba | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Union Santa Fe | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | at San Lorenzo | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 at home: DLWDD
Defensa y Justicia: last 6
LWWDWL · 9 scored, 4 conceded
| 16 Oct | vs Instituto Cordoba | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Union Santa Fe | 2–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs San Lorenzo | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | at Central Cordoba de Santiago | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Sep | vs Gimnasia M. | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | at Lanus | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 away: WDLWD
Season stats
| Talleres (Córdoba) | Defensa y Justicia | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.97 | Goals scored per game | 1.24 |
| 1.13 | Goals conceded per game | 1.14 |
| 0.93 | Scored per game at home | 1.20 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 1.29 |
| 47% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 41% |
| 47% | Both teams scored | 52% |
| 30% | Clean sheets | 31% |
| 40% | Failed to score | 28% |
League matches only, 30 and 29 games.
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 30 | +10 | 52 | WLDWD |
| 3 | Instituto Cordoba | 29 | +10 | 50 | WDWWW |
| 4 | Lanus | 31 | +8 | 48 | DWWDW |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 30 | +4 | 46 | WLWWD |
| 6 | Estudiantes L.P. | 30 | +12 | 45 | LDWLW |
| 7 | Independiente | 30 | +1 | 43 | DDLWD |
| 8 | San Lorenzo | 31 | -5 | 41 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Gimnasia M. | 30 | -7 | 39 | LLWLD |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 31 | -1 | 38 | DLLLL |
| 11 | Newells Old Boys | 30 | -9 | 36 | DWLDW |
| 12 | Talleres (Córdoba) | 31 | -6 | 35 | LLDLL |
| 13 | Platense | 30 | -11 | 30 | WLDDL |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 29 | -17 | 26 | LDDDL |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 29 | -10 | 23 | DLDDL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Talleres (Córdoba) won 2, Defensa y Justicia 2, 2 draws; 2.8 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr 2026 | Defensa y Justicia | 1–2 | Talleres (Córdoba) | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 24 Jul 2024 | Talleres (Córdoba) | 1–1 | Defensa y Justicia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 11 Mar 2023 | Defensa y Justicia | 1–1 | Talleres (Córdoba) | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 11 Sep 2022 | Talleres (Córdoba) | 1–0 | Defensa y Justicia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 9 Apr 2022 | Talleres (Córdoba) | 1–5 | Defensa y Justicia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 4 Oct 2021 | Defensa y Justicia | 3–0 | Talleres (Córdoba) | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Match context
- Rest days
- Talleres (Córdoba) 7Defensa y Justicia 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Talleres (Córdoba) 2 · Defensa y Justicia 1
- Referee
- Juan Pafundi
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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