Rosario Central vs Huracán prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Rosario Central to win: 56%, about 3 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 64% · bookies 64% · ✓ 2 goals
The Verdict
The sceptic's head-to-head case for Huracán is the main counterweight, but recent form and home scoring favour the hosts. On goals, everyone sits near the published 36% for over 2.5, consistent with tight, low-scoring meetings between these sides.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think Huracán's chances are better than the bookmakers say. It does not make Huracán favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersCentral's home scoring and Huracán's leaky away trips point to a controlled home win.
Central score 1.56 per game at home and have kept clean sheets in 31% of matches, while Huracán manage only 0.94 away and fail to score in 32% of games. Huracán's away record shows 5 scored and 6 conceded in their last five. That profile suggests a low-scoring home win.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureSecond versus seventh with Central fresher in league terms makes home form count.
Huracán are 7th on 44 from 31 but arrive off two straight defeats. Central had 7 days' rest, Huracán 9, so freshness is not the deciding factor.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe prices ignore a head-to-head record that strongly favours Huracán.
Huracán have won 4 of the last 6 meetings, including 3-1 this year and 1-0 away in each of the last two visits here, with just 1.8 goals per game. Yet they are priced at only 16% despite winning at River Plate and Racing recently. The 36% over 2.5 looks fair given those low-scoring meetings.
Huracán: clearly underrated
Fewer goalsMed Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Rosario Central are favourites at 56%, with Huracán on 17% and the draw on 27%. Rosario Central are 2nd and Huracán 7th in Liga Profesional. In their last five league games, Rosario Central won four and Huracán three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Rosario Central win or draw
- 84%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Huracán win or draw
- 44%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 63%
- 3+ goals
- 36%
- 4+ goals
- 17%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 38%
- No
- 62%
We expect about 1.5 goals from Rosario Central and 0.7 from Huracán. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (17%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 2–0 (13%), 0–0 (12%), 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 56% | 27% | 16% | Stats preview | #829 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Rosario Central: last 6
WWDWWD · 12 scored, 4 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Atletico Tucuman | 3–2 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Independ. Rivadavia | 5–0 | W |
| 6 Oct | at Banfield | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Argentinos JRS | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | at Tigre | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Newells Old Boys | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 at home: WWDLD
Huracán: last 6
LLWWWD · 7 scored, 7 conceded
| 15 Oct | vs Gimnasia L.P. | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Barracas Central | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Aldosivi | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | at River Plate | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | vs Racing Club | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Sep | at Belgrano Cordoba | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 away: LWDLW
Season stats
| Rosario Central | Huracán | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.41 | Goals scored per game | 1.03 |
| 0.94 | Goals conceded per game | 0.90 |
| 1.56 | Scored per game at home | 1.13 |
| 1.25 | Scored per game away | 0.94 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 35% |
| 59% | Both teams scored | 48% |
| 31% | Clean sheets | 39% |
| 19% | Failed to score | 32% |
League matches only, 32 and 31 games.
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 33 | +17 | 62 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 32 | +13 | 61 | WDWLD |
| 3 | Belgrano Cordoba | 33 | +12 | 58 | LWWWD |
| 4 | River Plate | 33 | +17 | 56 | WDWLW |
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P. | 32 | +2 | 54 | WWDDD |
| 6 | Independ. Rivadavia | 30 | +9 | 53 | DLDWW |
| 7 | Huracán | 32 | +2 | 44 | LLLWW |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 29 | +1 | 40 | DWWLD |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 30 | -6 | 40 | LDDWL |
| 10 | Racing Club | 31 | -4 | 36 | DLWWL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Rosario Central won 2, Huracán 4, 0 draws; 1.8 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 | Huracán | 3–1 | Rosario Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 18 May 2025 | Rosario Central | 0–1 | Huracán | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 27 Jul 2024 | Rosario Central | 0–1 | Huracán | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 1 Mar 2024 | Huracán | 2–0 | Rosario Central | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| 6 Oct 2023 | Rosario Central | 1–0 | Huracán | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| 21 Mar 2023 | Huracán | 0–2 | Rosario Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Match context
- Rest days
- Rosario Central 7Huracán 9
- Matches in the last 14 days: Rosario Central 2 · Huracán 1
- Referee
- Yael Falcon Perez
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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