Banfield vs Lanús prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Lanús to win: 45%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 60% · bookies 60% · ✓ 2 goals
The Verdict
The analysts suggest Lanús is the stronger side based on league position and defensive metrics. However, Banfield's home attack and the historical head-to-head balance suggest a competitive match with a high likelihood of goals.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts are split: The Dressing Room thinks Lanús are underrated; The Sceptic thinks Banfield are underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersLanús's defensive solidity contrasts with Banfield's high concession rate.
Lanús has conceded only 0.87 goals per game and maintains a 47% clean sheet rate. Banfield averages 1.31 goals conceded per game, with their home scoring rate at 1.21.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureLanús enters the fixture as a top-four contender against a mid-table Banfield side.
Lanús sits 4th in the table with 47 points from 30 games. Banfield is 12th with 31 points from 29 games. Both teams have 6 days rest.
Lanús: clearly underrated
Med The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market slightly undervalues Banfield's home scoring threat despite their recent poor form.
Banfield's last 6 games show 4 goals scored, while Lanús has scored 14 in their last 6. The H2H record shows 2 wins for each side.
Banfield: slightly underrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Lanús are favourites at 45%, with Banfield on 25% and the draw on 30%. Banfield are 13th and Lanús 4th in Liga Profesional. In their last five league games, Banfield won one and Lanús four.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Banfield win or draw
- 55%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 70%
- Lanús win or draw
- 75%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 66%
- 3+ goals
- 39%
- 4+ goals
- 19%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 45%
- No
- 55%
We expect about 0.9 goals from Banfield and 1.3 from Lanús. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 0–1 (14%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (10%), 1–0 (10%), 0–2 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25% | 30% | 45% | Stats preview | #748 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Banfield: last 6
LWDDDL · 7 scored, 9 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Argentinos JRS | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Tigre | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Oct | vs Rosario Central | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | at Gimnasia L.P. | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Sep | vs Barracas Central | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | at Aldosivi | 1–3 | L |
Last 5 at home: LDDLL
Lanús: last 6
WWDWWW · 9 scored, 1 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Platense | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | vs Velez Sarsfield | 2–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | at Newells Old Boys | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Sep | vs Estudiantes L.P. | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | at Deportivo Riestra | 3–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Defensa Y Justicia | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 away: WDWLW
Season stats
| Banfield | Lanús | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.07 | Goals scored per game | 1.13 |
| 1.31 | Goals conceded per game | 0.87 |
| 1.21 | Scored per game at home | 1.13 |
| 0.93 | Scored per game away | 1.13 |
| 45% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 37% |
| 55% | Both teams scored | 33% |
| 21% | Clean sheets | 47% |
| 31% | Failed to score | 33% |
League matches only, 29 and 30 games.
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 30 | +19 | 54 | WDWWW |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 30 | +10 | 52 | WLDWD |
| 3 | Instituto Cordoba | 29 | +10 | 50 | WDWWW |
| 4 | Lanús | 31 | +8 | 48 | DWWDW |
| 5 | Defensa Y Justicia | 30 | +4 | 46 | WLWWD |
| 6 | Estudiantes L.P. | 30 | +12 | 45 | LDWLW |
| 7 | Independiente | 30 | +1 | 43 | DDLWD |
| … | |||||
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 30 | -6 | 40 | LDDWL |
| 10 | Racing Club | 31 | -4 | 36 | DLWWL |
| 11 | Tigre | 30 | +0 | 33 | LDLLL |
| 12 | Banfield | 30 | -7 | 32 | DLWDD |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 30 | -5 | 31 | WLDLL |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 29 | -21 | 16 | LLLWL |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 29 | -28 | 14 | WLLLL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Banfield won 2, Lanús 2, 2 draws; 1.7 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr 2026 | Lanús | 1–0 | Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 4 Nov 2025 | Banfield | 2–1 | Lanús | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 19 Apr 2025 | Lanús | 1–1 | Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Banfield | 0–1 | Lanús | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 26 Feb 2024 | Lanús | 1–1 | Banfield | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| 1 Oct 2023 | Banfield | 1–0 | Lanús | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
Match context
- Rest days
- Banfield 6Lanús 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Banfield 2 · Lanús 2
- Referee
- Facundo Tello
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
