Aldosivi vs Belgrano (Córdoba) prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win: 46%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 57% · bookies 57%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The three readings converge on a Belgrano victory, supported by their strong league position and defensive record. However, the balanced head-to-head history and Aldosivi's recent form suggest the draw remains a strong possibility. The probability of more than 2.5 goals is slightly elevated above the published rate.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts are split: The Dressing Room thinks Belgrano (Córdoba) are underrated; The Sceptic thinks a draw is underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersBelgrano's defensive solidity away from home contrasts with Aldosivi's high concession rate.
Aldosivi concedes 1.41 goals per game, while Belgrano averages only 0.79 conceded per game. Belgrano has scored 1.00 goals per game on the road.
Aldosivi: slightly overrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureThe significant gap in league standings suggests a clear advantage for the visiting side.
Belgrano is 3rd in the table with 58 points from 33 games. Aldosivi sits in 14th place with 16 points from 29 games.
Belgrano (Córdoba): clearly underrated
Fewer goalsMed The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe balanced head-to-head record suggests the market may be overestimating Belgrano's current form.
In the last 6 meetings, Aldosivi and Belgrano have won 2 times each. Both teams have had a 6-day rest period.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Belgrano (Córdoba) are favourites at 46%, with Aldosivi on 25% and the draw on 29%. Aldosivi are 14th and Belgrano (Córdoba) 3rd in Liga Profesional. In their last five league games, Aldosivi won one and Belgrano (Córdoba) three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Aldosivi win or draw
- 54%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 71%
- Belgrano (Córdoba) win or draw
- 75%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 69%
- 3+ goals
- 43%
- 4+ goals
- 22%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 47%
- No
- 53%
We expect about 1.0 goals from Aldosivi and 1.4 from Belgrano (Córdoba). (expected goals)
Most likely score: 0–1 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (9%), 0–2 (9%), 1–0 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Aldosivi: last 6
LLLWLW · 9 scored, 11 conceded
| 18 Oct | at Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 1–2 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Sarmiento Junin | 1–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | at Huracan | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Sep | vs Atletico Tucuman | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | at Independ. Rivadavia | 3–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Banfield | 3–1 | W |
Last 5 at home: LWWLD
Belgrano (Córdoba): last 6
LWWWDD · 7 scored, 6 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs River Plate | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | at Racing Club | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | at Talleres Cordoba | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | at Sarmiento Junin | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Sep | vs Huracan | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 away: WWDDW
Season stats
| Aldosivi | Belgrano (Córdoba) | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.69 | Goals scored per game | 1.15 |
| 1.41 | Goals conceded per game | 0.79 |
| 0.71 | Scored per game at home | 1.31 |
| 0.67 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 34% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 33% |
| 52% | Both teams scored | 39% |
| 21% | Clean sheets | 48% |
| 45% | Failed to score | 27% |
League matches only, 29 and 33 games.
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 33 | +17 | 62 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 32 | +13 | 61 | WDWLD |
| 3 | Belgrano (Córdoba) | 33 | +12 | 58 | LWWWD |
| 4 | River Plate | 33 | +17 | 56 | WDWLW |
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P. | 32 | +2 | 54 | WWDDD |
| 6 | Independ. Rivadavia | 30 | +9 | 53 | DLDWW |
| … | |||||
| 11 | Tigre | 30 | +0 | 33 | LDLLL |
| 12 | Banfield | 30 | -7 | 32 | DLWDD |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 30 | -5 | 31 | WLDLL |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 29 | -21 | 16 | LLLWL |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 29 | -28 | 14 | WLLLL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Aldosivi won 2, Belgrano (Córdoba) 2, 2 draws; 1.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr 2026 | Belgrano (Córdoba) | 1–0 | Aldosivi | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 15 Aug 2025 | Aldosivi | 0–0 | Belgrano (Córdoba) | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 12 Feb 2025 | Belgrano (Córdoba) | 2–0 | Aldosivi | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 24 Sep 2018 | Aldosivi | 2–0 | Belgrano (Córdoba) | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 15 Oct 2016 | Belgrano (Córdoba) | 0–0 | Aldosivi | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 16 Mar 2015 | Belgrano (Córdoba) | 0–1 | Aldosivi | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Match context
- Travel for Belgrano (Córdoba)
- 950 km
- Rest days
- Aldosivi 6Belgrano (Córdoba) 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Aldosivi 1 · Belgrano (Córdoba) 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 11°C · wind 21 km/h
- Rain expected
- Referee
- Sebastian Zunino
- Goals in this league
- Liga Profesional average: 2.16 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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