VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabruck prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
VfL Wolfsburg to win: 63%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 72% · bookies 72%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three lean towards a Wolfsburg win, with probabilities clustered around the published 63/19/18. The Coach and Dressing Room see goals at both ends, while the Sceptic flags that Wolfsburg's own over 2.5 rate of 56% makes the 72% goals line the shakiest number on the board. Overall: home win, plenty of goals, mild doubt on the highest totals.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think VfL Wolfsburg's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTwo leaky attacks meet: goals at both ends look the safest read.
Wolfsburg score 3.00 per game at home but keep clean sheets only 22% of the time; Osnabruck score 1.50 away and both teams have scored in 67% of each side's matches. With the league averaging 3.02 goals per match, a 3-1 type scoreline fits the profile.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureWolfsburg's points cushion and fresher legs make them clear favourites.
Wolfsburg sit 4th on 16 points from 9 games, unbeaten in four of their last six, and have had 7 days rest. Osnabruck are 8th on 11 points, played twice in 14 days and travel 185 km after just 5 days off. Home win.
VfL Wolfsburg: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe home price looks about right, but the goals line may be a touch high.
Osnabruck have won 3 of their last 6 and Wolfsburg drew three of their last six, including two 4-4s and a 1-1. Wolfsburg's over 2.5 rate is only 56% versus Osnabruck's 67%, so 72% for over 2.5 looks slightly generous.
VfL Wolfsburg: slightly overrated
Fewer goalsLow Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
VfL Wolfsburg are clear favourites at 63%, with VfL Osnabruck on 18% and the draw on 19%. VfL Wolfsburg are 4th and VfL Osnabruck 8th in 2. Bundesliga. In their last five league games, VfL Wolfsburg won two and VfL Osnabruck one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- VfL Wolfsburg win or draw
- 82%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 81%
- VfL Osnabruck win or draw
- 37%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 88%
- 3+ goals
- 72%
- 4+ goals
- 51%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 65%
- No
- 35%
We expect about 2.5 goals from VfL Wolfsburg and 1.3 from VfL Osnabruck. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–1 (9%). Even the likeliest exact score happens less than 1 time in 10. Next: 3–1 (8%), 1–1 (8%), 2–0 (7%), 3–0 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 63% | 19% | 18% | Stats preview | #1848 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
VfL Wolfsburg: last 6
DWDWLD · 17 scored, 12 conceded
| 23 Oct | at VfL Bochum | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs 1. FC Heidenheim | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | at 1. FC Nürnberg | 4–4 | D |
| 18 Sep | vs SV Darmstadt 98 | 5–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | at FC St. Pauli | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Energie Cottbus | 4–4 | D |
Last 4 at home: WWDD
VfL Osnabruck: last 6
WLDDLW · 10 scored, 8 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | at Arminia Bielefeld | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Dynamo Dresden | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | at Holstein Kiel | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Hertha BSC | 1–3 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Eintracht Braunschweig | 3–1 | W |
Last 4 away: LDWL
Season stats
| VfL Wolfsburg | VfL Osnabruck | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.56 | Goals scored per game | 1.56 |
| 1.56 | Goals conceded per game | 1.67 |
| 3.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.60 |
| 2.20 | Scored per game away | 1.50 |
| 56% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| 67% | Both teams scored | 67% |
| 22% | Clean sheets | 22% |
| 22% | Failed to score | 11% |
League matches only, 9 games each.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 9 | +12 | 25 | WDWWW |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 9 | +9 | 18 | LDDWW |
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 9 | +5 | 18 | WWDWL |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 9 | +9 | 16 | DWDWL |
| 5 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 9 | +8 | 16 | WLWDW |
| 6 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 9 | +0 | 15 | DLDDW |
| 7 | FC St. Pauli | 9 | +2 | 12 | DDWDW |
| 8 | VfL Osnabruck | 9 | -1 | 11 | WLDDL |
| 9 | Arminia Bielefeld | 9 | -1 | 11 | LWWDL |
| 10 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 9 | +0 | 10 | WLWLD |
| 11 | Energie Cottbus | 9 | -1 | 10 | DDLDW |
Match context
- Travel for VfL Osnabruck
- 185 km
- Rest days
- VfL Wolfsburg 7VfL Osnabruck 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: VfL Wolfsburg 1 · VfL Osnabruck 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 11°C · wind 6 km/h
- Dry
- Coaches
- Tobias Strobl
- VfL Wolfsburg, since Oct 2026
- Goals in this league
- 2. Bundesliga average: 3.02 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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