Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
1. Heidenheim 1846 to win: 43%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 65% · bookies 65%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three lean towards Heidenheim, but the Sceptic's away-form caution narrows the gap, landing near the published 32-25-43 split. On goals, Karlsruher's defensive record and Heidenheim's both-teams-score rate support the 65% over 2.5 line, with 3+ goals a live outcome.
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think 1. FC Heidenheim 1846's chances are better than the bookmakers say. The Sceptic thinks Karlsruher SC are underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTwo leaky defences point to goals, with Heidenheim edging the scoring battle
Karlsruher's home games average 1.60 scored but 10 conceded in their last five. Expect chances at both ends.
1. Heidenheim 1846: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureHeidenheim's stability meets a Karlsruher side searching for points
Heidenheim sit 6th on 15 points from 9 games; Karlsruher are 17th on 8 from 9 and have lost 5. Karlsruher's last six include a 1-6 defeat and a 4-0 win - wildly inconsistent. Both had 7 days' rest, so freshness is even, but the pressure sits firmly on the home side.
1. Heidenheim 1846: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongHeidenheim's away record argues the away price is a touch generous
The 43% away number looks slightly high; the 65% over line looks about right.
Karlsruher: slightly underrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 are slight favourites at 43%, with Karlsruher SC on 32% and the draw on 25%. Karlsruher SC are 17th and 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 6th in 2. Bundesliga. In their last five league games, Karlsruher SC won one and 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Karlsruher SC win or draw
- 57%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win or draw
- 68%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 85%
- 3+ goals
- 65%
- 4+ goals
- 43%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 66%
- No
- 34%
We expect about 1.5 goals from Karlsruher SC and 1.8 from 1. FC Heidenheim 1846. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%), 2–2 (7%), 0–1 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 39% | 22% | 39% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1903 | |
| 2 | 32% | 25% | 43% | Prices moved | #2133 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Karlsruher SC: last 6
LWLLLD · 7 scored, 14 conceded
| 24 Oct | at 1. FC Magdeburg | 1–6 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs SV Darmstadt 98 | 4–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | at FC St. Pauli | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs 1. FC Nürnberg | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Energie Cottbus | 0–3 | L |
| 4 Sep | at Hannover 96 | 2–2 | D |
Last 5 at home: WLLLW
1. FC Heidenheim 1846: last 6
DLDDWW · 6 scored, 6 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Energie Cottbus | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | at VfL Wolfsburg | 1–3 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | at Arminia Bielefeld | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Holstein Kiel | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | at SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 away: LDWLL
Season stats
| Karlsruher SC | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.22 | Goals scored per game | 1.78 |
| 2.22 | Goals conceded per game | 1.78 |
| 1.60 | Scored per game at home | 2.20 |
| 0.75 | Scored per game away | 1.25 |
| 67% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| 44% | Both teams scored | 67% |
| 22% | Clean sheets | 33% |
| 44% | Failed to score | 11% |
League matches only, 9 games each.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 9 | +5 | 18 | WWDWL |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 9 | +9 | 16 | DWDWL |
| 5 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 9 | +8 | 16 | WLWDW |
| 6 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 9 | +0 | 15 | DLDDW |
| 7 | FC St. Pauli | 9 | +2 | 12 | DDWDW |
| 8 | VfL Osnabrück | 9 | -1 | 11 | WLDDL |
| 9 | Arminia Bielefeld | 9 | -1 | 11 | LWWDL |
| … | |||||
| 14 | VfL Bochum | 9 | -4 | 8 | DLLLD |
| 15 | Dynamo Dresden | 9 | -7 | 8 | LWDLD |
| 16 | Hannover 96 | 9 | -7 | 8 | LDLWL |
| 17 | Karlsruher SC | 9 | -9 | 8 | LWLLL |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 9 | -10 | 8 | DLWLW |
Match context
- Travel for 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
- 133 km
- Rest days
- Karlsruher SC 71. FC Heidenheim 1846 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Karlsruher SC 2 · 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 9°C · wind 6 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- 2. Bundesliga average: 3.02 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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