Energie Cottbus vs VfL Bochum prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
VfL Bochum to win: 41%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 64% · bookies 64%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think a draw is underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersCottbus's open games meet Bochum's blunt attack - goals likely, but one-sided
Cottbus score 2.00 per home game; Bochum score 1.00 away.
VfL Bochum: slightly overrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureTwo mid-table sides, but Cottbus's draw habit and fresher legs edge it
Cottbus sit 11th on 10 points from 9 games (W2 D4 L3, goals 17-18); Bochum are 14th on 8 points (W2 D2 L5, goals 6-10). Cottbus have drawn four of their last six, Bochum have lost five of six. Rest is similar: 6 days for Cottbus, 7 for Bochum, who played twice in 14 days.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe 64% over 2.5 line leans heavily on Cottbus and looks a touch high
The published 65% both-teams-score sits well above Bochum's 44% season rate, and their 44% failed-to-score record questions the 1.8 expected goals for the away side. Bochum's away form (L L W W W, 6 scored, 6 conceded) does give the 41% away price some support. I'd shave the goals line slightly.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
VfL Bochum are slight favourites at 41%, with Energie Cottbus on 32% and the draw on 27%. Energie Cottbus are 11th and VfL Bochum 14th in 2. Bundesliga. In their last five league games, Energie Cottbus won one and VfL Bochum none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Energie Cottbus win or draw
- 59%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- VfL Bochum win or draw
- 68%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 84%
- 3+ goals
- 64%
- 4+ goals
- 42%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 65%
- No
- 35%
We expect about 1.5 goals from Energie Cottbus and 1.8 from VfL Bochum. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%), 2–2 (7%), 0–1 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32% | 27% | 41% | Stats preview | #2030 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Energie Cottbus: last 6
DDLDWD · 11 scored, 10 conceded
| 24 Oct | at 1. FC Heidenheim | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Oct | vs 1. FC Nürnberg | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | at SV Darmstadt 98 | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs FC St. Pauli | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | at Karlsruher SC | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | at VfL Wolfsburg | 4–4 | D |
Last 5 at home: DDLLW
VfL Bochum: last 6
DLLLDW · 5 scored, 8 conceded
| 23 Oct | vs VfL Wolfsburg | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | at 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Arminia Bielefeld | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | at Hannover 96 | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | at Dynamo Dresden | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 away: LLWWW
Season stats
| Energie Cottbus | VfL Bochum | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.89 | Goals scored per game | 0.67 |
| 2.00 | Goals conceded per game | 1.11 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game at home | 0.40 |
| 1.80 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 67% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 22% |
| 78% | Both teams scored | 44% |
| 11% | Clean sheets | 11% |
| 11% | Failed to score | 44% |
League matches only, 9 games each.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | VfL Osnabrück | 9 | -1 | 11 | WLDDL |
| 9 | Arminia Bielefeld | 9 | -1 | 11 | LWWDL |
| 10 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 9 | +0 | 10 | WLWLD |
| 11 | Energie Cottbus | 9 | -1 | 10 | DDLDW |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 9 | -4 | 9 | LWLDD |
| 13 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | -1 | 8 | WDLDL |
| 14 | VfL Bochum | 9 | -4 | 8 | DLLLD |
| 15 | Dynamo Dresden | 9 | -7 | 8 | LWDLD |
| 16 | Hannover 96 | 9 | -7 | 8 | LDLWL |
| 17 | Karlsruher SC | 9 | -9 | 8 | LWLLL |
Match context
- Travel for VfL Bochum
- 491 km
- Rest days
- Energie Cottbus 6VfL Bochum 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Energie Cottbus 1 · VfL Bochum 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 10°C · wind 4 km/h
- Dry
- Coaches
- U. Rösler
- VfL Bochum, since Oct 2026
- Goals in this league
- 2. Bundesliga average: 3.02 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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