Kaiserslautern vs Hertha Berlin prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Hertha Berlin to win: 40%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 58% · bookies 58%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three readings lean towards a close game with a slight Hertha edge, broadly matching the published 33/27/40 split. The main divergence is on goals: Hertha's 67% over rate pulls one card up, but Kaiserslautern's 78% clean-sheet record and 11% both-teams-score rate drag the others down, so the 58% over-2.5 line looks slightly generous.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think a draw is underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersHertha's attack meets the league's stingiest defence - something has to give
Hertha score 2.22 per game and 2.25 away, but Kaiserslautern concede just 0.44 per game with 78% clean sheets and six home games without conceding.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureFirst visits third with Hertha unbeaten and Kaiserslautern flying at home
Hertha lead on 25 points from 9 games, unbeaten with eight wins; Kaiserslautern sit 3rd on 18, five points back. Kaiserslautern have won their last three at home without conceding, while Hertha are unbeaten in six. Both had a full week's rest, so freshness is even.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe away lean looks fair, but the goals line may be a touch high
Kaiserslautern go over 2.5 just 33% of the time and both teams score in only 11% of their matches.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Hertha Berlin are slight favourites at 40%, with Kaiserslautern on 33% and the draw on 27%. Kaiserslautern are 3rd and Hertha Berlin 1st in 2. Bundesliga. In their last five league games, Kaiserslautern won three and Hertha Berlin four.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Kaiserslautern win or draw
- 60%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Hertha Berlin win or draw
- 67%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 80%
- 3+ goals
- 58%
- 4+ goals
- 36%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 60%
- No
- 40%
We expect about 1.4 goals from Kaiserslautern and 1.6 from Hertha Berlin. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%), 0–1 (8%), 1–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33% | 27% | 40% | Stats preview | #1855 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Kaiserslautern: last 6
WWDWLW · 7 scored, 3 conceded
| 24 Oct | at 1. FC Nürnberg | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs VfL Bochum | 2–0 | W |
| 9 Oct | at 1. FC Heidenheim | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Eintracht Braunschweig | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | at 1. FC Magdeburg | 0–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs SV Darmstadt 98 | 3–0 | W |
Last 4 at home: WWWD
Hertha Berlin: last 6
WDWWWW · 10 scored, 4 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Arminia Bielefeld | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Oct | at Holstein Kiel | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Dynamo Dresden | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | at VfL Osnabrück | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs 1. FC Magdeburg | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 away: DWWWD
Season stats
| Kaiserslautern | Hertha Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | Goals scored per game | 2.22 |
| 0.44 | Goals conceded per game | 0.89 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game at home | 2.25 |
| 0.60 | Scored per game away | 2.20 |
| 33% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| 11% | Both teams scored | 67% |
| 78% | Clean sheets | 33% |
| 44% | Failed to score | 11% |
League matches only, 9 games each.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha Berlin | 9 | +12 | 25 | WDWWW |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 9 | +9 | 18 | LDDWW |
| 3 | Kaiserslautern | 9 | +5 | 18 | WWDWL |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 9 | +9 | 16 | DWDWL |
| 5 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 9 | +8 | 16 | WLWDW |
| 6 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 9 | +0 | 15 | DLDDW |
Match context
- Travel for Hertha Berlin
- 522 km
- Rest days
- Kaiserslautern 6Hertha Berlin 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Kaiserslautern 1 · Hertha Berlin 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 11°C · wind 9 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- 2. Bundesliga average: 3.02 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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